Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fleetwood Town v Shrewsbury Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-25 18:45 UTC

Score final : Fleetwood Town 4–0 Shrewsbury Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prévision 47.98%2.08cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -3.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.07%48.04%47.84%50.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.951.952.0254.64%51.31%51.28%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Shrewsbury Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.27%4.12cote équitable
EV +1.92%
Avantage +0.457%
Kelly +0.599%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.27%24.17%24.36%25.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.783.754.2028.57%26.43%26.67%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.75%3.60cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -0.819%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.64%27.79%27.80%28.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.403.5032.26%30.03%29.41%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fleetwood Town (Local) : 47.98% ; Shrewsbury Town (Visiteur) : 24.27% ; Match nul : 27.75%. Pour Shrewsbury Town (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.12. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.20, soit une espérance positive de +1.92%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +1.92%E +0.457%K +0.599%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 18:23
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -0.509%E -0.124%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-25 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -5.48%E -2.78%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.68%EV -2.45%E -0.610%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -5.48%E -2.78%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.68%EV -2.45%E -0.610%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:04
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 18:38
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 18:37
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:19
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:18
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.86%EV -3.56%E -1.77%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.17%EV -3.42%E -0.860%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.97%EV -4.53%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:39
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.06%EV -5.00%E -2.52%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.03%EV -3.91%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -5.37%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.15%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 18:09
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.15%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 18:09
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:35
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:34
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 18:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -5.00%E -2.52%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:35
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:34
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -10.27%E -5.49%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-25 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -10.27%E -5.49%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -3.08%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:09
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:34
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:34
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-25 18:38
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -11.23%E -6.07%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-25 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 18:09
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 18:39
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 18:09
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 18:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.17%EV -11.23%E -6.07%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-25 18:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.66%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 18:09
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 18:32
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 18:19
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 18:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -9.79%E -5.21%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -15.07%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-25 18:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.93%EV -9.31%E -4.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.07%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-25 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.93%EV -9.31%E -4.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.07%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-25 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -9.79%E -5.21%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.07%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-25 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-08-25 18:39
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-08-25 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-08-25 18:39