Language:English
Fleetwood Town v Sheffield United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Prediction 18.85%5.31fair odd
EV +4.78%
Edge +0.860%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 5.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.11%18.87%18.88%20.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.005.005.5622.22%19.99%20.00%17.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sheffield United (Visit)
Prediction 57.37%1.74fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.94%57.35%57.32%59.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.611.611.7066.23%62.01%62.11%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.78%4.20fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.607%
Kelly -0.803%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.54%23.78%23.80%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.923.904.1027.78%25.49%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fleetwood Town (Local): 18.85%; Sheffield United (Visit): 57.37%; Draw: 23.78%. For Fleetwood Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.31. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.11%EV +4.78%E +0.860%K +1.05%G +0.050% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.90%EV -9.15%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.47%EV +3.65%E +0.664%K +0.811%G +0.030% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.89%EV -4.76%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV +1.77%E +0.327%K +0.401%G +0.007% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +1.77%E +0.327%K +0.401%G +0.007% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.75%EV -8.78%E -5.52%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -0.118%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -0.118%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -0.307%E -0.058%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.41%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.48%EV -2.96%E -0.727%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -1.06%E -0.202%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-16 18:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -1.06%E -0.202%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-16 18:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -1.06%E -0.202%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -8.78%E -5.52%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.39%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.59%EV -4.76%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.02%EV -5.34%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.20%EV -9.35%E -5.92%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 18:31 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 18:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 18:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 18:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 18:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 18:31 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 18:31 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -6.48%E -3.98%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -12.00%E -3.24%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.39%EV -7.28%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.77%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.39%EV -7.28%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.77%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -5.34%E -3.23%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -11.07%E -7.14%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 18:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -11.07%E -7.14%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 18:31 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -2.47%E -1.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 18:31 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -2.47%E -1.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 18:31 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.01%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.43%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.59%EV -13.37%E -8.85%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -8.44%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-16 18:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -5.34%E -3.23%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -11.43%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.51%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.92%EV -11.43%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.37%EV -11.07%E -7.14%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-16 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -4.76%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-16 18:26 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-16 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-16 18:31 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-16 18:41 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11% | 1.2% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11% | 1.2% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |