默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fleetwood Town v Sheffield United

开赛时间: 2026-09-16 18:45 UTC

最终结果: Fleetwood Town 1–0 Sheffield United

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fleetwood Town (主队)

预测 18.85%5.31公平赔率
EV +4.78%
优势 +0.860%
Kelly +1.05%
增长率 +0.050%

假设最高赔率为 5.56

博彩公司预测分布
17.11%18.87%18.88%20.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.005.005.5622.22%19.99%20.00%17.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sheffield United (客队)

预测 57.37%1.74公平赔率
EV -2.47%
优势 -1.45%
Kelly -3.53%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.70

博彩公司预测分布
54.94%57.35%57.32%59.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.511.611.611.7066.23%62.01%62.11%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.78%4.20公平赔率
EV -2.49%
优势 -0.607%
Kelly -0.803%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.10

博彩公司预测分布
22.54%23.78%23.80%26.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.923.904.1027.78%25.49%25.64%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Fleetwood Town (主队):18.85%;Sheffield United (客队):57.37%;平局:23.78%。 对于“Fleetwood Town (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.31。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.56,对应+4.78%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯5.56I 17.99%NM 17.11%EV +4.78%E +0.860%K +1.05%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.90%EV -9.15%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 18:40
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.47%EV +3.65%E +0.664%K +0.811%G +0.030%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.89%EV -4.76%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 18:40
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV +1.77%E +0.327%K +0.401%G +0.007%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 18:40
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +1.77%E +0.327%K +0.401%G +0.007%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.75%EV -8.78%E -5.52%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 18:40
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -0.118%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -0.118%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 18:35
Pinnacle🎯5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -0.307%E -0.058%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.41%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.48%EV -2.96%E -0.727%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-16 18:35
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -1.06%E -0.202%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 18:38
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -1.06%E -0.202%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 18:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -1.06%E -0.202%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -8.78%E -5.52%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.39%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.59%EV -4.76%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.02%EV -5.34%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 18:40
Unibet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.20%EV -9.35%E -5.92%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:30
betPARX🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:31
Grosvenor🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:31
Casumo🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:31
ATG (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:31
TABtouch🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:31
BetRivers🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:31
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 18:40
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 18:30
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -6.48%E -3.98%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -12.00%E -3.24%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-16 18:40
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 19.39%EV -7.28%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.77%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 19.39%EV -7.28%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.77%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -5.34%E -3.23%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 18:35
Bovada🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -11.07%E -7.14%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 18:31
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -11.07%E -7.14%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 18:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -2.47%E -1.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 18:31
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -2.47%E -1.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 18:31
BetMGM🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.01%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 18:30
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-16 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.43%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.59%EV -13.37%E -8.85%K -26.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -8.44%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-16 18:31
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 18:35
William Hill🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -5.34%E -3.23%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 18:30
LeoVegas🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -11.43%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.51%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.92%EV -11.43%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.37%EV -11.07%E -7.14%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-16 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -4.76%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 18:35
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-16 18:26
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-16 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-16 18:31
theScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-16 18:35
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-16 18:41
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-09-16 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-09-16 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-09-16 18:40
Matchbook◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-09-16 18:40