Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fleetwood Town v Sheffield United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-16 18:45 UTC

Score final : Fleetwood Town 1–0 Sheffield United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fleetwood Town (Local)

Prévision 18.85%5.31cote équitable
EV +4.78%
Avantage +0.860%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 5.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.11%18.87%18.88%20.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.005.005.5622.22%19.99%20.00%17.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sheffield United (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.37%1.74cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -3.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.94%57.35%57.32%59.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.611.611.7066.23%62.01%62.11%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.78%4.20cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -0.607%
Kelly -0.803%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.54%23.78%23.80%26.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.923.904.1027.78%25.49%25.64%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fleetwood Town (Local) : 18.85% ; Sheffield United (Visiteur) : 57.37% ; Match nul : 23.78%. Pour Fleetwood Town (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.31. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.56, soit une espérance positive de +4.78%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯5.56I 17.99%NM 17.11%EV +4.78%E +0.860%K +1.05%G +0.050%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.90%EV -9.15%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 18:40
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.47%EV +3.65%E +0.664%K +0.811%G +0.030%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.89%EV -4.76%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-16 18:40
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV +1.77%E +0.327%K +0.401%G +0.007%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 18:40
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +1.77%E +0.327%K +0.401%G +0.007%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.75%EV -8.78%E -5.52%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 18:40
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -0.118%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -0.118%E -0.022%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -8.21%E -5.13%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 18:35
Pinnacle🎯5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -0.307%E -0.058%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.41%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.48%EV -2.96%E -0.727%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-16 18:35
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -1.06%E -0.202%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 18:38
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -1.06%E -0.202%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 18:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -1.06%E -0.202%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -8.78%E -5.52%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.39%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.59%EV -4.76%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.02%EV -5.34%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 18:40
Unibet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.20%EV -9.35%E -5.92%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:30
betPARX🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:31
Grosvenor🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:31
Casumo🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:31
ATG (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:31
TABtouch🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:31
BetRivers🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -2.00%E -0.385%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.49%E -0.607%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 18:31
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 18:40
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 18:30
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -6.48%E -3.98%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -12.00%E -3.24%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-16 18:40
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -5.77%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-16 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 19.39%EV -7.28%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.77%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 19.39%EV -7.28%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.77%EV -3.62%E -2.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-16 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -5.34%E -3.23%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 18:35
Bovada🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -11.07%E -7.14%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 18:31
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -7.66%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -11.07%E -7.14%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 18:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -2.47%E -1.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 18:31
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -2.47%E -1.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 18:31
BetMGM🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.01%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 18:30
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-16 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.43%EV -9.54%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.59%EV -13.37%E -8.85%K -26.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -8.44%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-16 18:31
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -4.19%E -2.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 18:35
William Hill🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -10.48%E -2.21%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -5.34%E -3.23%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 18:30
LeoVegas🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -11.43%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.51%EV -5.91%E -3.60%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.92%EV -11.43%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.37%EV -11.07%E -7.14%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -10.81%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-16 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.31%EV -4.76%E -2.87%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 18:35
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-16 18:26
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-16 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.31%E -2.89%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -7.63%E -4.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -14.38%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-16 18:31
theScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -9.62%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.06%E -4.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -7.25%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-16 18:35
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -15.19%E -3.38%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.93%E -6.32%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -4.87%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-16 18:41
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-09-16 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-09-16 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-09-16 18:40
Matchbook◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-09-16 18:40