Language:English
Everton v Wolverhampton Wanderers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Everton (Local)
Prediction 63.69%1.57fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -8.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.66%63.82%63.65%66.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.441.5072.46%68.84%69.20%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visit)
Prediction 15.30%6.54fair odd
EV +14.73%
Edge +1.96%
Kelly +2.27%
Growth +0.334%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.93%15.24%15.28%16.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.316.277.5018.18%15.86%15.96%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.01%4.76fair odd
EV +1.90%
Edge +0.391%
Kelly +0.493%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 4.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.67%20.95%21.07%22.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.384.404.8525.00%22.81%22.73%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Everton (Local): 63.69%; Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visit): 15.30%; Draw: 21.01%. For Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.54. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.98%EV -6.37%E -4.33%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.93%EV +14.73%E +1.96%K +2.27%G +0.334% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.98%EV -6.37%E -4.33%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.93%EV +14.73%E +1.96%K +2.27%G +0.334% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.71%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV +1.90%E +0.391%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.71%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV +1.90%E +0.391%K +0.493%G +0.009% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -9.56%E -6.73%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.26%E +0.483%K +0.567%G +0.018% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -9.56%E -6.73%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.26%E +0.483%K +0.567%G +0.018% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -9.56%E -6.73%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.26%E +0.483%K +0.567%G +0.018% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.72%EV -12.10%E -8.77%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV +3.26%E +0.483%K +0.567%G +0.018% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -8.61%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-16 18:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.42%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.60%EV +0.200%E +0.030%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.08%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.13%EV -4.40%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-16 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.65%E -5.27%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.65%E -5.27%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.41%EV -10.19%E -7.23%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.41%EV -10.19%E -7.23%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.91%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.12%EV -3.01%E -0.475%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.98%EV -3.98%E -0.872%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.88%EV -3.62%E -0.575%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 18:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.82%EV -5.10%E -3.42%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -3.93%E -0.626%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.04%EV -5.04%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.21%EV -12.10%E -8.77%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.18%EV -4.39%E -0.702%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -13.86%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -7.65%E -5.27%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -5.15%E -0.831%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.74%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.07%EV -7.45%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 18:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 18:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -9.74%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.15%EV -7.01%E -4.80%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -11.27%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.27%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.04%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -12.04%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -12.04%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.04%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.33%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.56%EV -12.80%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.93%EV -6.37%E -4.33%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -14.33%E -2.56%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -15.86%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.86%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.86%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.86%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.17% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.17% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.0% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |