Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Everton v Wolverhampton Wanderers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-16 18:45 UTC

Score final : Everton 1–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Everton (Local)

Prévision 63.69%1.57cote équitable
EV -4.46%
Avantage -2.97%
Kelly -8.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.66%63.82%63.65%66.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.451.441.5072.46%68.84%69.20%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.30%6.54cote équitable
EV +14.73%
Avantage +1.96%
Kelly +2.27%
Croissance +0.334%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.93%15.24%15.28%16.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.316.277.5018.18%15.86%15.96%13.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.01%4.76cote équitable
EV +1.90%
Avantage +0.391%
Kelly +0.493%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 4.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.67%20.95%21.07%22.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.384.404.8525.00%22.81%22.73%20.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Everton (Local) : 63.69% ; Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visiteur) : 15.30% ; Match nul : 21.01%. Pour Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.54. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.50, soit une espérance positive de +14.73%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.98%EV -6.37%E -4.33%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.93%EV +14.73%E +1.96%K +2.27%G +0.334%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-16 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.98%EV -6.37%E -4.33%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.93%EV +14.73%E +1.96%K +2.27%G +0.334%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-16 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.71%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV +1.90%E +0.391%K +0.493%G +0.009%4.8%2026-09-16 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.71%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV +1.90%E +0.391%K +0.493%G +0.009%4.8%2026-09-16 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-16 18:40
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:40
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:40
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -9.56%E -6.73%K -22.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.26%E +0.483%K +0.567%G +0.018%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -9.56%E -6.73%K -22.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.26%E +0.483%K +0.567%G +0.018%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -9.56%E -6.73%K -22.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.26%E +0.483%K +0.567%G +0.018%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 18:40
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.72%EV -12.10%E -8.77%K -31.85%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV +3.26%E +0.483%K +0.567%G +0.018%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -8.61%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-16 18:31
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.60%EV +0.200%E +0.030%K +0.036%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.08%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.13%EV -4.40%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.65%E -5.27%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.65%E -5.27%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.41%EV -10.19%E -7.23%K -24.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.41%EV -10.19%E -7.23%K -24.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 18:40
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.91%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.12%EV -3.01%E -0.475%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.98%EV -3.98%E -0.872%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.88%EV -3.62%E -0.575%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 18:25
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.82%EV -5.10%E -3.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -3.93%E -0.626%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.04%EV -5.04%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.21%EV -12.10%E -8.77%K -31.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.18%EV -4.39%E -0.702%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -13.86%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-16 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -7.65%E -5.27%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -5.15%E -0.831%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 18:40
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.74%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.07%EV -7.45%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-16 18:40
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 18:35
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 18:38
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 18:38
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-16 18:40
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 18:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-16 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -9.74%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.15%EV -7.01%E -4.80%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -11.27%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 18:35
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.27%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.04%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -12.04%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -12.04%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-16 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.04%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-16 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.33%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.56%EV -12.80%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-16 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.93%EV -6.37%E -4.33%K -13.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -14.33%E -2.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-16 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -15.86%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 18:35
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.86%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-16 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.86%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-16 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.86%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-16 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.17%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.5%2026-09-16 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.17%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.5%2026-09-16 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.0%2026-09-16 18:40
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-09-16 18:40