Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Everton v Wolverhampton Wanderers

Início: 2026-09-16 18:45 UTC

Final: Everton 1–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Everton (Local)

Previsão 63.69%1.57odd justa
EV -4.46%
Vantagem -2.97%
Kelly -8.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.66%63.82%63.65%66.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.451.441.5072.46%68.84%69.20%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visitante)

Previsão 15.30%6.54odd justa
EV +14.73%
Vantagem +1.96%
Kelly +2.27%
Crescimento +0.334%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.93%15.24%15.28%16.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.506.316.277.5018.18%15.86%15.96%13.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.01%4.76odd justa
EV +1.90%
Vantagem +0.391%
Kelly +0.493%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.67%20.95%21.07%22.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.384.404.8525.00%22.81%22.73%20.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Everton (Local): 63.69%; Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visitante): 15.30%; Empate: 21.01%. Para Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.54. 15 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +14.73%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.98%EV -6.37%E -4.33%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.93%EV +14.73%E +1.96%K +2.27%G +0.334%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-16 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.98%EV -6.37%E -4.33%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.93%EV +14.73%E +1.96%K +2.27%G +0.334%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-16 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.71%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV +1.90%E +0.391%K +0.493%G +0.009%4.8%2026-09-16 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.71%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV +1.90%E +0.391%K +0.493%G +0.009%4.8%2026-09-16 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-16 18:40
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:40
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:40
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +7.08%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -9.56%E -6.73%K -22.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.26%E +0.483%K +0.567%G +0.018%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -9.56%E -6.73%K -22.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.26%E +0.483%K +0.567%G +0.018%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -9.56%E -6.73%K -22.75%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.26%E +0.483%K +0.567%G +0.018%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 18:40
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.72%EV -12.10%E -8.77%K -31.85%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV +3.26%E +0.483%K +0.567%G +0.018%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -8.61%E -1.98%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-16 18:31
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.60%EV +0.200%E +0.030%K +0.036%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.08%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.13%EV -4.40%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-16 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.65%E -5.27%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -7.65%E -5.27%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.41%EV -10.19%E -7.23%K -24.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.41%EV -10.19%E -7.23%K -24.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -0.565%E -0.087%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 18:40
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.91%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.12%EV -3.01%E -0.475%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.98%EV -3.98%E -0.872%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-16 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.88%EV -3.62%E -0.575%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 18:25
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.82%EV -5.10%E -3.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.14%EV -3.93%E -0.626%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.04%EV -5.04%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.21%EV -12.10%E -8.77%K -31.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.18%EV -4.39%E -0.702%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -13.86%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-16 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -7.65%E -5.27%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -5.15%E -0.831%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 18:40
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.74%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.74%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.07%EV -7.45%E -1.23%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-16 18:40
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 18:35
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 18:38
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 18:38
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-16 18:40
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-16 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.03%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-16 18:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-16 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.21%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-16 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -9.74%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.15%EV -7.01%E -4.80%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -11.27%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 18:35
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.27%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -12.04%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-16 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -12.04%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -3.35%E -0.729%K -0.932%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-16 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -12.04%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.66%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-16 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.04%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-16 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.33%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.56%EV -12.80%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%EV -11.76%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-16 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.93%EV -6.37%E -4.33%K -13.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -14.33%E -2.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.46%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-16 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -4.46%E -2.97%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -15.86%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.56%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 18:35
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.86%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-16 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.86%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-16 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.86%E -2.88%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.96%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-16 18:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.17%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.5%2026-09-16 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.17%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%0.5%2026-09-16 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.0%2026-09-16 18:40
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.32%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-09-16 18:40