Language:English
Doncaster Rovers v Middlesbrough
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Doncaster Rovers (Local)
Prediction 14.00%7.14fair odd
EV +4.99%
Edge +0.665%
Kelly +0.768%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.59%14.25%13.98%17.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.256.346.227.5019.05%15.78%16.06%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Middlesbrough (Visit)
Prediction 65.75%1.52fair odd
EV +0.591%
Edge +0.386%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.80%65.35%65.73%67.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.421.5373.53%70.13%70.42%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.26%4.94fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.255%
Kelly +0.319%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.08%20.40%20.29%22.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.054.514.505.0024.69%22.15%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 14.00%; Middlesbrough (Visit): 65.75%; Draw: 20.26%. For Doncaster Rovers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.14. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +4.99%E +0.665%K +0.768%G +0.038% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.77%E -0.578%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:13 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +4.99%E +0.665%K +0.768%G +0.038% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.77%E -0.578%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.44I 13.44%NM 12.86%EV +4.15%E +0.558%K +0.644%G +0.027% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.37%EV -6.64%E -4.68%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.77%EV -1.96%E -0.406%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.35I 13.61%NM 12.95%EV +2.89%E +0.393%K +0.455%G +0.013% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -5.81%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.35I 13.61%NM 12.95%EV +2.89%E +0.393%K +0.455%G +0.013% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -5.81%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.59%EV +2.19%E +0.300%K +0.348%G +0.008% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.72%EV -6.64%E -4.68%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -17.97%E -4.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV +1.49%E +0.206%K +0.239%G +0.004% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.64%E -4.68%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -14.93%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.79%EV +0.791%E +0.110%K +0.128%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.20%EV -9.93%E -7.25%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.82%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.75%EV -2.01%E -0.287%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.40%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.85%EV -1.76%E -0.363%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -2.01%E -0.287%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -7.30%E -5.18%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -2.01%E -0.287%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -9.27%E -6.72%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-25 18:13 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -2.01%E -0.287%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.59%E -7.78%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-25 18:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.46%EV -4.81%E -0.707%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.47%EV -6.64%E -4.68%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.06%EV -15.94%E -3.84%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV -5.51%E -0.816%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.36%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -6.82%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -5.51%E -0.816%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.33%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -9.01%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -5.33%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +1.28%E +0.255%K +0.319%G +0.004% | 4.8% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -9.01%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -3.79%E -0.797%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 18:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -9.01%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -5.33%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -2.77%E -0.578%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.01%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -2.77%E -0.578%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.01%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -2.77%E -0.578%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.01%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -2.77%E -0.578%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -9.01%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -10.59%E -7.78%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -9.01%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -10.59%E -7.78%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -12.51%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.03%EV -9.27%E -6.72%K -24.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -4.80%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -12.51%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -10.59%E -7.78%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.93%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.35%EV -13.21%E -2.13%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.43%EV -10.59%E -7.78%K -29.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22%EV -10.88%E -2.47%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-25 18:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.17%EV -13.49%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.10%EV -5.33%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -3.79%E -0.797%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -16.01%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -6.64%E -4.68%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.82%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -16.01%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -6.64%E -4.68%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.82%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -16.01%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -16.01%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -16.01%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -16.01%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.46%EV -17.41%E -2.95%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -4.80%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.71%EV -20.21%E -3.55%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.40%EV -8.61%E -6.20%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV -21.61%E -3.86%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -1.38%E -0.921%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -11.89%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-25 18:16 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV -21.61%E -3.86%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -1.38%E -0.921%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -11.89%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -23.01%E -4.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.81%EV -7.30%E -5.18%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -14.93%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -23.01%E -4.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.81%EV -7.30%E -5.18%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -14.93%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -23.01%E -4.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.81%EV -7.30%E -5.18%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -14.93%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -26.51%E -5.05%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV +0.591%E +0.386%K +1.12%G +0.007% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31% | 0.5% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |