Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Doncaster Rovers v Middlesbrough

Início: 2026-08-25 18:30 UTC

Final: Doncaster Rovers 1–3 Middlesbrough

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Doncaster Rovers (Local)

Previsão 14.00%7.14odd justa
EV +4.99%
Vantagem +0.665%
Kelly +0.768%
Crescimento +0.038%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.59%14.25%13.98%17.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.256.346.227.5019.05%15.78%16.06%13.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Middlesbrough (Visitante)

Previsão 65.75%1.52odd justa
EV +0.591%
Vantagem +0.386%
Kelly +1.12%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.80%65.35%65.73%67.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.361.431.421.5373.53%70.13%70.42%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.26%4.94odd justa
EV +1.28%
Vantagem +0.255%
Kelly +0.319%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.08%20.40%20.29%22.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.054.514.505.0024.69%22.15%22.22%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 14.00%; Middlesbrough (Visitante): 65.75%; Empate: 20.26%. Para Doncaster Rovers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.14. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.99%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +4.99%E +0.665%K +0.768%G +0.038%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.77%E -0.578%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:13
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +4.99%E +0.665%K +0.768%G +0.038%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.77%E -0.578%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:15
Pinnacle🎯7.44I 13.44%NM 12.86%EV +4.15%E +0.558%K +0.644%G +0.027%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.37%EV -6.64%E -4.68%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.77%EV -1.96%E -0.406%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯7.35I 13.61%NM 12.95%EV +2.89%E +0.393%K +0.455%G +0.013%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -5.81%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯7.35I 13.61%NM 12.95%EV +2.89%E +0.393%K +0.455%G +0.013%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -5.98%E -4.18%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -5.81%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:19
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.59%EV +2.19%E +0.300%K +0.348%G +0.008%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.72%EV -6.64%E -4.68%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -17.97%E -4.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:24
PlayUp🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV +1.49%E +0.206%K +0.239%G +0.004%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -6.64%E -4.68%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -14.93%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 18:24
Tipico (DE)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.79%EV +0.791%E +0.110%K +0.128%G +0.001%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.20%EV -9.93%E -7.25%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.82%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.75%EV -2.01%E -0.287%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.40%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.85%EV -1.76%E -0.363%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:13
SportsBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -2.01%E -0.287%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -7.30%E -5.18%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 18:14
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -2.01%E -0.287%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -9.27%E -6.72%K -24.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 18:13
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -2.01%E -0.287%K -0.335%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.59%E -7.78%K -29.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-25 18:18
Betsson🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.46%EV -4.81%E -0.707%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.47%EV -6.64%E -4.68%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.06%EV -15.94%E -3.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-25 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV -5.51%E -0.816%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.36%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -6.82%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 18:19
Coolbet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -5.51%E -0.816%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.33%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:19
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -9.01%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -5.33%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +1.28%E +0.255%K +0.319%G +0.004%4.8%2026-08-25 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -9.01%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -4.67%E -3.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -3.79%E -0.797%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 18:13
BetMGM🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -9.01%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -5.33%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -2.77%E -0.578%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.01%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -2.77%E -0.578%K -0.730%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-25 18:24
Neds🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.01%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -2.77%E -0.578%K -0.730%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-25 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.01%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -2.77%E -0.578%K -0.730%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-25 18:24
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -9.01%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -10.59%E -7.78%K -29.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-25 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -9.01%E -1.39%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -10.59%E -7.78%K -29.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-25 18:19
Bovada🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -12.51%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.03%EV -9.27%E -6.72%K -24.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -4.80%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 18:24
Sky Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -12.51%E -2.00%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.88%EV -10.59%E -7.78%K -29.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.93%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-25 18:14
NetBet (FR)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 14.35%EV -13.21%E -2.13%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.43%EV -10.59%E -7.78%K -29.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.22%EV -10.88%E -2.47%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 18:18
1xBet🎯6.18I 16.18%NM 15.17%EV -13.49%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.10%EV -5.33%E -3.70%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -3.79%E -0.797%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 18:24
LeoVegas🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -16.01%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -6.64%E -4.68%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.82%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:14
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -16.01%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -6.64%E -4.68%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.82%E -1.48%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:14
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -16.01%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 18:14
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -16.01%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 18:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -16.01%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -16.01%E -2.67%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.46%EV -17.41%E -2.95%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -7.96%E -5.68%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -4.80%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 18:14
Unibet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:24
TABtouch🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:23
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:23
Grosvenor🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:23
Svenska Spel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:23
Unibet (NL)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:23
Unibet (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:23
Casumo🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:23
ATG (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -18.81%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -2.70%E -1.82%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:23
Winamax (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.71%EV -20.21%E -3.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.40%EV -8.61%E -6.20%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -8.85%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-25 18:14
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV -21.61%E -3.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -1.38%E -0.921%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -11.89%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 18:16
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV -21.61%E -3.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -1.38%E -0.921%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -11.89%E -2.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -23.01%E -4.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.81%EV -7.30%E -5.18%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -14.93%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-25 18:24
LiveScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -23.01%E -4.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.81%EV -7.30%E -5.18%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -14.93%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-25 18:23
PMU (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -23.01%E -4.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.81%EV -7.30%E -5.18%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -14.93%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-25 18:23
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -26.51%E -5.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV +0.591%E +0.386%K +1.12%G +0.007%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -12.29%E -2.84%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 18:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-08-25 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-08-25 18:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-08-25 18:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.40%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-08-25 18:19