Language:English
Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crystal Palace (Local)
Prediction 43.64%2.29fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.59%43.75%43.61%46.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.102.2351.28%47.41%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Middlesbrough (Visit)
Prediction 29.56%3.38fair odd
EV +1.98%
Edge +0.573%
Kelly +0.806%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.95%29.49%29.54%30.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.173.153.4534.48%31.54%31.75%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.81%3.73fair odd
EV +0.522%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.190%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.93%26.75%26.85%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.483.503.7531.25%28.76%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crystal Palace (Local): 43.64%; Middlesbrough (Visit): 29.56%; Draw: 26.81%. For Middlesbrough (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.98%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV +1.98%E +0.573%K +0.806%G +0.016% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +0.522%E +0.139%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 2.8% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV +1.98%E +0.573%K +0.806%G +0.016% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +0.522%E +0.139%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 2.8% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.85%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -1.87%E -0.562%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.10%EV -4.57%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.74%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -2.46%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.46%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -2.46%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -2.46%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -2.46%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -2.46%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -2.46%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -2.46%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -10.98%E -5.38%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -10.98%E -5.38%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -14.04%E -7.13%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 18:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -2.69%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -4.23%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 18:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.85%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.20%EV -6.89%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.95%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.85%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.20%EV -6.89%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.95%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.89%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.89%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.89%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -5.31%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.57%EV -9.67%E -4.67%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -14.47%E -7.38%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -14.47%E -7.38%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.23%EV -14.91%E -7.65%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.45%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.85%E -3.23%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.85%E -3.23%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.91%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.28%E -4.92%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |