Idioma:Español
Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Crystal Palace (Local)
Predicción 43.64%2.29momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -2.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.59%43.75%43.61%46.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.112.102.2351.28%47.41%47.62%44.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Middlesbrough (Visitante)
Predicción 29.56%3.38momio equitativo
EV +1.98%
Ventaja +0.573%
Kelly +0.806%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.95%29.49%29.54%30.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.173.153.4534.48%31.54%31.75%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.81%3.73momio equitativo
EV +0.522%
Ventaja +0.139%
Kelly +0.190%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.93%26.75%26.85%27.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.483.503.7531.25%28.76%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Crystal Palace (Local): 43.64%; Middlesbrough (Visitante): 29.56%; Empate: 26.81%. Para Middlesbrough (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.38. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.45, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.98%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV +1.98%E +0.573%K +0.806%G +0.016% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +0.522%E +0.139%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 2.8% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV +1.98%E +0.573%K +0.806%G +0.016% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +0.522%E +0.139%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 2.8% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.85%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -1.87%E -0.562%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.10%EV -4.57%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.74%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -2.46%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.46%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -2.46%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -2.46%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -2.46%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -2.46%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -2.46%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -2.46%E -0.745%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -10.98%E -5.38%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -10.98%E -5.38%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -14.04%E -7.13%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -3.94%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 18:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -2.69%E -1.21%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -4.23%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -4.84%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 18:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.41%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.85%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.20%EV -6.89%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.95%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.85%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.20%EV -6.89%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.95%EV -5.38%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -3.13%E -1.41%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.89%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.89%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -6.18%E -2.88%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.89%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -5.31%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.50%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.57%EV -9.67%E -4.67%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -14.47%E -7.38%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -14.47%E -7.38%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.23%EV -14.91%E -7.65%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.45%EV -8.37%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-08 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -9.85%E -3.23%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.85%E -3.23%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.91%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.33%E -3.78%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.55%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -14.28%E -4.92%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-09-08 18:40 |