语言:简体中文
Chelsea v Leeds United
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Chelsea (主队)
预测 59.44%1.68公平赔率
EV -0.728%
优势 -0.436%
Kelly -1.09%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.67
博彩公司预测分布
57.62%59.42%59.38%62.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.561.561.6768.03%64.25%64.10%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
Leeds United (客队)
预测 18.30%5.46公平赔率
EV +9.80%
优势 +1.63%
Kelly +1.96%
增长率 +0.192%
假设最高赔率为 6.00
博彩公司预测分布
16.18%18.24%18.35%19.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.195.256.0022.22%19.25%19.05%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.26%4.49公平赔率
EV +0.149%
优势 +0.033%
Kelly +0.042%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.50
博彩公司预测分布
21.36%22.35%22.27%24.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.174.204.5026.32%23.99%23.81%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chelsea (主队)：59.44%；Leeds United (客队)：18.30%；平局：22.26%。 对于“Leeds United (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.46。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.00，对应+9.80%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV +9.80%E +1.63%K +1.96%G +0.192% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +0.149%E +0.033%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV +9.80%E +1.63%K +1.96%G +0.192% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +0.149%E +0.033%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.08%E -3.85%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.46%E -5.49%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.651%E +0.118%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.83%E -7.22%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +0.651%E +0.118%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.49%EV -3.11%E -1.91%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.96%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.12%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -9.87%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.12%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -9.87%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -6.78%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -6.78%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.54%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.13%EV -2.64%E -0.497%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.33%EV -3.86%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.83%E -7.22%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -3.01%E -0.568%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.89%EV -1.92%E -1.16%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.51%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.64%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.40%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.64%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.40%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -0.728%E -0.436%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -6.08%E -3.85%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.43%EV -12.62%E -8.58%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -4.84%E -0.931%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.43%EV -12.62%E -8.58%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -4.84%E -0.931%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.43%EV -12.62%E -8.58%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -4.84%E -0.931%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.83%E -7.22%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -10.33%E -2.11%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.33%E -2.11%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 16:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -11.24%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -14.32%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26%EV -8.46%E -5.49%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.93%EV -10.24%E -6.78%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.57%EV -10.83%E -7.22%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -13.07%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.73% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |