Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chelsea v Leeds United

Początek: 2026-09-09 19:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Chelsea 6–3 Leeds United

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Chelsea (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 59.44%1.68kurs godziwy
EV -0.728%
Przewaga -0.436%
Kelly -1.09%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.67

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
57.62%59.42%59.38%62.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.471.561.561.6768.03%64.25%64.10%59.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Leeds United (Goście)

Prognoza 18.30%5.46kurs godziwy
EV +9.80%
Przewaga +1.63%
Kelly +1.96%
Wzrost +0.192%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.18%18.24%18.35%19.89%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.505.195.256.0022.22%19.25%19.05%16.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 22.26%4.49kurs godziwy
EV +0.149%
Przewaga +0.033%
Kelly +0.042%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.36%22.35%22.27%24.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.804.174.204.5026.32%23.99%23.81%22.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Chelsea (Gospodarze): 59.44%; Leeds United (Goście): 18.30%; Remis: 22.26%. Dla wyniku Leeds United (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.46. 11 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 6.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +9.80%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV +9.80%E +1.63%K +1.96%G +0.192%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +0.149%E +0.033%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 15:26
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV +9.80%E +1.63%K +1.96%G +0.192%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +0.149%E +0.033%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 15:26
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.08%E -3.85%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:40
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:26
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:25
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:25
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.46%E -5.49%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.651%E +0.118%K +0.145%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.83%E -7.22%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +0.651%E +0.118%K +0.145%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.49%EV -3.11%E -1.91%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.96%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-09 17:00
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.12%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -9.87%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.12%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -9.87%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -6.78%K -20.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 15:26
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -6.78%K -20.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 15:25
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.54%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.13%EV -2.64%E -0.497%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.33%EV -3.86%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 17:35
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.83%E -7.22%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -3.01%E -0.568%K -0.700%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 15:26
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.89%EV -1.92%E -1.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.51%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.64%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.40%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 15:26
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.64%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.40%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -0.728%E -0.436%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -6.08%E -3.85%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:39
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:38
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.43%EV -12.62%E -8.58%K -26.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -4.84%E -0.931%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.43%EV -12.62%E -8.58%K -26.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -4.84%E -0.931%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 15:26
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.43%EV -12.62%E -8.58%K -26.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -4.84%E -0.931%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 15:25
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 15:26
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 15:26
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.83%E -7.22%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -10.33%E -2.11%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.33%E -2.11%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 16:09
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -11.24%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -14.32%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 17:35
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26%EV -8.46%E -5.49%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 17:35
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 17:35
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.93%EV -10.24%E -6.78%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.57%EV -10.83%E -7.22%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -13.07%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 15:55
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 15:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-09-09 17:35
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-09-09 17:25