Langue:Français
Chelsea v Leeds United
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Chelsea (Local)
Prévision 59.44%1.68cote équitable
EV -0.728%
Avantage -0.436%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.62%59.42%59.38%62.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.561.561.6768.03%64.25%64.10%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Leeds United (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.30%5.46cote équitable
EV +9.80%
Avantage +1.63%
Kelly +1.96%
Croissance +0.192%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.18%18.24%18.35%19.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.195.256.0022.22%19.25%19.05%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 22.26%4.49cote équitable
EV +0.149%
Avantage +0.033%
Kelly +0.042%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.36%22.35%22.27%24.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.174.204.5026.32%23.99%23.81%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chelsea (Local) : 59.44% ; Leeds United (Visiteur) : 18.30% ; Match nul : 22.26%. Pour Leeds United (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.46. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +9.80%.
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV +9.80%E +1.63%K +1.96%G +0.192% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +0.149%E +0.033%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV +9.80%E +1.63%K +1.96%G +0.192% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +0.149%E +0.033%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.08%E -3.85%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.46%E -5.49%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.651%E +0.118%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.83%E -7.22%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +0.651%E +0.118%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.49%EV -3.11%E -1.91%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.96%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.12%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -9.87%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.12%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -9.87%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -6.78%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -6.78%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.54%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.13%EV -2.64%E -0.497%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.33%EV -3.86%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.83%E -7.22%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -3.01%E -0.568%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.89%EV -1.92%E -1.16%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.51%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.64%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.40%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.64%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.40%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -0.728%E -0.436%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -6.08%E -3.85%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.43%EV -12.62%E -8.58%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -4.84%E -0.931%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.43%EV -12.62%E -8.58%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -4.84%E -0.931%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.43%EV -12.62%E -8.58%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -4.84%E -0.931%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 15:26 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.83%E -7.22%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -10.33%E -2.11%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.33%E -2.11%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 16:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -11.24%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -14.32%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26%EV -8.46%E -5.49%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.93%EV -10.24%E -6.78%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.57%EV -10.83%E -7.22%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -13.07%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.73% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.0% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |