النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Chelsea v Leeds United

البداية: 2026-09-09 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chelsea 6–3 Leeds United

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Chelsea (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.44%1.68السعر العادل
EV -0.728%
الأفضلية -0.436%
Kelly -1.09%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.62%59.42%59.38%62.24%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.561.561.6768.03%64.25%64.10%59.88%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Leeds United (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.30%5.46السعر العادل
EV +9.80%
الأفضلية +1.63%
Kelly +1.96%
النمو +0.192%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.18%18.24%18.35%19.89%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.195.256.0022.22%19.25%19.05%16.67%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.26%4.49السعر العادل
EV +0.149%
الأفضلية +0.033%
Kelly +0.042%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.36%22.35%22.27%24.06%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.174.204.5026.32%23.99%23.81%22.22%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Chelsea (المضيف)⁩: ⁨59.44%⁩؛ ⁨Leeds United (الضيف)⁩: ⁨18.30%⁩؛ ⁨تعادل⁩: ⁨22.26%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Leeds United (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨5.46⁩. عرضت 11 شركة مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨6.00⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+9.80%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV +9.80%E +1.63%K +1.96%G +0.192%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +0.149%E +0.033%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 15:26
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV +9.80%E +1.63%K +1.96%G +0.192%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV +0.149%E +0.033%K +0.042%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 15:26
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.08%E -3.85%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:40
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:26
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:25
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:25
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.05%E -5.91%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +2.48%E +0.443%K +0.539%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.46%E -5.49%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +0.651%E +0.118%K +0.145%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.83%E -7.22%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +0.651%E +0.118%K +0.145%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.49%EV -3.11%E -1.91%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.96%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-09 17:00
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.12%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -9.87%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.12%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -9.87%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -6.78%K -20.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 15:26
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -6.78%K -20.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -1.18%E -0.218%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 15:25
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.54%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.13%EV -2.64%E -0.497%K -0.612%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.33%EV -3.86%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 17:35
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.83%E -7.22%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -3.01%E -0.568%K -0.700%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 15:26
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.89%EV -1.92%E -1.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.51%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.64%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.40%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 15:26
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.64%EV -3.70%E -2.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.40%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -0.728%E -0.436%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -6.08%E -3.85%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:39
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -3.92%E -0.747%K -0.923%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 17:38
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.43%EV -12.62%E -8.58%K -26.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -4.84%E -0.931%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.43%EV -12.62%E -8.58%K -26.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -4.84%E -0.931%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 15:26
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.43%EV -12.62%E -8.58%K -26.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -4.84%E -0.931%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.89%E -3.06%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 15:25
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 15:26
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 15:26
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.83%E -7.22%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.50%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -7.27%E -4.66%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -10.33%E -2.11%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.33%E -2.11%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 16:09
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -11.24%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -14.32%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 17:35
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.26%EV -8.46%E -5.49%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 17:35
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 17:35
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.93%EV -10.24%E -6.78%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.53%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.57%EV -10.83%E -7.22%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -12.16%E -2.53%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -6.67%E -4.25%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -13.07%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 15:55
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.86%E -5.07%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -17.65%E -3.92%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 15:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-09-09 17:35
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-09-09 17:25