Burton Albion v Blackburn Rovers

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Burton Albion (Local)

Odds

3.1032.26%Min

3.2630.70%Mean

3.2031.25%Median

3.5028.57%Max

Consensus probabilities

27.06%3.696Min

28.85%3.466Max

28.14%3.554Mean

28.08%3.561Median

28.08%3.561IQM

28.06%3.564Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 28.08%

EV -1.72%Edge -0.491%Kelly -0.688%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Blackburn Rovers (Visit)

Odds

2.0050.00%Min

2.0648.66%Mean

2.0648.54%Median

2.1546.51%Max

Consensus probabilities

43.61%2.293Min

45.38%2.204Max

44.37%2.254Mean

44.30%2.257Median

44.30%2.257IQM

44.44%2.250Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.15 under the IQM model: 44.30%

EV -4.76%Edge -2.21%Kelly -4.14%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.2031.25%Min

3.2730.57%Mean

3.2031.25%Median

3.4029.41%Max

Consensus probabilities

26.69%3.746Min

28.24%3.541Max

27.50%3.637Mean

27.62%3.620Median

27.62%3.620IQM

27.50%3.636Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 27.62%

EV -6.09%Edge -1.79%Kelly -2.54%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Burton Albion (Local) ▼	Blackburn Rovers (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	3.50I 28.57% NM 27.56%EV -1.72% E -0.491% K -0.688% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.87%EV -4.76% E -2.21% K -4.14% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 27.56%EV -3.33% E -0.950% K -1.33% G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-06-26 11:49
Betr (AU)	3.50I 28.57% NM 27.06%EV -1.72% E -0.491% K -0.688% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.09%EV -6.97% E -3.32% K -6.34% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.85%EV -6.09% E -1.79% K -2.54% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 02:59
FanDuel	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.63%EV -4.53% E -1.33% K -1.89% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -6.97% E -3.32% K -6.34% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.63%EV -6.09% E -1.79% K -2.54% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-26 14:39
SportsBet	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.11%EV -4.53% E -1.33% K -1.89% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 44.96%EV -9.19% E -4.48% K -8.75% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.93%EV -8.85% E -2.68% K -3.85% G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-06-26 11:49
Paddy Power	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.11%EV -4.53% E -1.33% K -1.89% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 44.96%EV -9.19% E -4.48% K -8.75% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.93%EV -8.85% E -2.68% K -3.85% G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.11%EV -4.53% E -1.33% K -1.89% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 44.96%EV -9.19% E -4.48% K -8.75% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.93%EV -8.85% E -2.68% K -3.85% G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-06-26 14:29
1xBet	3.33I 30.03% NM 28.15%EV -6.49% E -1.95% K -2.79% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.61%EV -4.76% E -2.21% K -4.14% G +0.000%	3.32I 30.12% NM 28.24%EV -8.30% E -2.50% K -3.58% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-26 18:39
LeoVegas	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.70%EV -7.34% E -2.22% K -3.19% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 44.59%EV -9.19% E -4.48% K -8.75% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.70%EV -8.85% E -2.68% K -3.85% G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-07-02 10:20
William Hill	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.93%EV -8.74% E -2.69% K -3.88% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 45.38%EV -11.40% E -5.70% K -11.40% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.69%EV -6.09% E -1.79% K -2.54% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-30 14:00
888sport	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.93%EV -8.74% E -2.69% K -3.88% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 45.38%EV -11.40% E -5.70% K -11.40% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.69%EV -6.09% E -1.79% K -2.54% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.93%EV -8.74% E -2.69% K -3.88% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 45.38%EV -11.40% E -5.70% K -11.40% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.69%EV -6.09% E -1.79% K -2.54% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.93%EV -8.74% E -2.69% K -3.88% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 45.38%EV -11.40% E -5.70% K -11.40% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.69%EV -6.09% E -1.79% K -2.54% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-30 14:19
BetRivers	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -10.14% E -3.17% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 43.72%EV -8.74% E -4.24% K -8.25% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -11.61% E -3.63% K -5.28% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -10.14% E -3.17% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 43.72%EV -8.74% E -4.24% K -8.25% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -11.61% E -3.63% K -5.28% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -10.14% E -3.17% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 43.72%EV -8.74% E -4.24% K -8.25% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -11.61% E -3.63% K -5.28% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -10.14% E -3.17% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 43.72%EV -8.74% E -4.24% K -8.25% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -11.61% E -3.63% K -5.28% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -10.14% E -3.17% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 43.72%EV -8.74% E -4.24% K -8.25% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -11.61% E -3.63% K -5.28% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -10.14% E -3.17% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 43.72%EV -8.74% E -4.24% K -8.25% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -11.61% E -3.63% K -5.28% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -10.14% E -3.17% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 43.72%EV -8.74% E -4.24% K -8.25% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -11.61% E -3.63% K -5.28% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -10.14% E -3.17% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 43.72%EV -8.74% E -4.24% K -8.25% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -11.61% E -3.63% K -5.28% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -10.14% E -3.17% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 43.72%EV -8.74% E -4.24% K -8.25% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -11.61% E -3.63% K -5.28% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -10.14% E -3.17% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 43.72%EV -8.74% E -4.24% K -8.25% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -11.61% E -3.63% K -5.28% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -10.14% E -3.17% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 43.72%EV -8.74% E -4.24% K -8.25% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -11.61% E -3.63% K -5.28% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -10.14% E -3.17% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 43.72%EV -8.74% E -4.24% K -8.25% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -11.61% E -3.63% K -5.28% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -10.14% E -3.17% K -4.61% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 43.72%EV -8.74% E -4.24% K -8.25% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.14%EV -11.61% E -3.63% K -5.28% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 08:39
BoyleSports	3.10I 32.26% NM 28.85%EV -12.95% E -4.18% K -6.17% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 43.63%EV -9.19% E -4.48% K -8.75% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.52%EV -10.23% E -3.15% K -4.55% G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-06-27 15:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Burton Albion (Local)	Blackburn Rovers (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:29