Language:English
Burton Albion v Blackburn Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Burton Albion (Local)
Prediction 23.63%4.23fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.369%
Kelly +0.481%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.69%23.63%23.52%25.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.843.804.3028.57%26.07%26.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Blackburn Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 48.81%2.05fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.89%48.81%48.86%50.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.901.902.0056.18%52.75%52.63%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.57%3.63fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.33%27.56%27.63%28.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.403.5032.26%29.70%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burton Albion (Local): 23.63%; Blackburn Rovers (Visit): 48.81%; Draw: 27.57%. For Burton Albion (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV +1.59%E +0.369%K +0.481%G +0.008% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -8.73%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV +1.59%E +0.369%K +0.481%G +0.008% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -8.24%E -4.39%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.58%EV -0.539%E -0.128%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.03%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.39%EV -4.34%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -0.775%E -0.184%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.14%E -0.765%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.14%E -0.765%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.06%EV -5.80%E -3.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -5.97%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.32%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -5.72%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -6.68%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -6.68%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -7.39%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.75%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -5.72%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.32%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.32%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -9.04%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -10.22%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.73%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.22%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.24%E -4.39%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -10.22%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.60%EV -13.12%E -7.37%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -2.39%E -1.19%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -8.24%E -4.39%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -14.95%E -4.15%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.95%E -4.15%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.07%EV -9.22%E -4.96%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -16.13%E -4.54%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.64%EV -11.17%E -6.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -16.13%E -4.54%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.64%EV -11.17%E -6.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -16.13%E -4.54%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.64%EV -11.17%E -6.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -17.31%E -4.95%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -17.31%E -4.95%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.68% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
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