La escuela de los momios

Burton Albion v Blackburn Rovers

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Burton Albion (Local)

Predicción 30.51%3.28momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.742%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.14%30.39%30.50%31.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.053.013.2036.36%32.75%33.22%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Blackburn Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 41.31%2.42momio equitativo
EV -4.98%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -3.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.23%41.43%41.31%43.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.172.202.3048.78%46.00%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.18%3.55momio equitativo
EV -4.19%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -1.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.12%28.18%28.20%29.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.243.203.4033.33%30.86%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -2.37%E -0.742%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -14.89%E -7.23%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -2.37%E -0.742%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -14.89%E -7.23%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -2.37%E -0.742%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -14.89%E -7.23%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -2.37%E -0.742%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -14.89%E -7.23%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -2.37%E -0.742%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -14.89%E -7.23%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -2.37%E -0.742%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -14.89%E -7.23%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -2.37%E -0.742%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -14.89%E -7.23%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -2.37%E -0.742%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -14.89%E -7.23%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -2.37%E -0.742%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -14.89%E -7.23%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -2.37%E -0.742%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -14.89%E -7.23%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -2.37%E -0.742%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -14.89%E -7.23%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -2.37%E -0.742%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -14.89%E -7.23%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -2.37%E -0.742%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -14.89%E -7.23%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -2.37%E -0.742%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -14.89%E -7.23%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-16 14:05
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.43%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 13:05
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.43%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 13:09
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.43%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.11%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-15 08:44
1xBet3.07I 32.57%NM 30.52%EV -6.34%E -2.07%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.91%EV -5.39%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.57%EV -7.58%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 00:15
Marathon Bet3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -6.65%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.09%EV -6.22%E -2.74%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -7.58%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 00:10
SportsBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.95%E -2.28%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 13:05
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -6.95%E -2.28%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -8.28%E -3.73%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 05:04
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -6.95%E -2.28%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -8.28%E -3.73%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 05:05
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 31.08%EV -7.87%E -2.60%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.10%EV -5.89%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 14:09
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 19:19
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 21:55
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-14 07:49
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 13:04
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 13:10
betano_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 06:04
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 06:04
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.11%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 15:40
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 15:39
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 15:39
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.48%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.11%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 14:30
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.00%E -3.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 19:20
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 30.65%EV -10.92%E -3.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.22%EV -12.41%E -5.86%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-13 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 30.65%EV -10.92%E -3.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.22%EV -12.41%E -5.86%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-13 17:30
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.53%E -3.97%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.11%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-23 14:35
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.53%E -3.97%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-14 02:09
NetBet (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 30.49%EV -12.44%E -4.34%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.28%EV -12.41%E -5.86%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-23 09:44
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -13.05%E -4.58%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -13.24%E -6.31%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.69%EV -16.10%E -5.86%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.17%EV -15.31%E -7.47%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-22 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%6.1%2026-07-26 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%6.1%2026-07-26 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%6.1%2026-07-26 03:15