Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Burton Albion (Local): 23.63%; Blackburn Rovers (Visitante): 48.81%; Empate: 27.57%. Para Burton Albion (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.23. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.59%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV +1.59%E +0.369%K +0.481%G +0.008% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -8.73%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV +1.59%E +0.369%K +0.481%G +0.008% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -8.24%E -4.39%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.58%EV -0.539%E -0.128%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.03%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.39%EV -4.34%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -0.775%E -0.184%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.14%E -0.765%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.14%E -0.765%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.06%EV -5.80%E -3.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -5.97%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.32%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -5.72%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -6.68%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -6.68%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -7.39%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.75%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -5.72%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.32%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.32%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -9.04%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -10.22%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.73%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.22%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.24%E -4.39%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -10.22%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.60%EV -13.12%E -7.37%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -2.39%E -1.19%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -8.24%E -4.39%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -14.95%E -4.15%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.95%E -4.15%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.07%EV -9.22%E -4.96%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -16.13%E -4.54%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.64%EV -11.17%E -6.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -16.13%E -4.54%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.64%EV -11.17%E -6.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -16.13%E -4.54%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.64%EV -11.17%E -6.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -17.31%E -4.95%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -17.31%E -4.95%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.68% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |