Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Burton Albion v Blackburn Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Score final : Burton Albion 1–2 Blackburn Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Burton Albion (Local)

Prévision 23.63%4.23cote équitable
EV +1.59%
Avantage +0.369%
Kelly +0.481%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.69%23.63%23.52%25.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.843.804.3028.57%26.07%26.32%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Blackburn Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.81%2.05cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.89%48.81%48.86%50.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.901.902.0056.18%52.75%52.63%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.57%3.63cote équitable
EV -3.51%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.33%27.56%27.63%28.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.403.5032.26%29.70%29.41%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Burton Albion (Local) : 23.63% ; Blackburn Rovers (Visiteur) : 48.81% ; Match nul : 27.57%. Pour Burton Albion (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.23. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.30, soit une espérance positive de +1.59%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV +1.59%E +0.369%K +0.481%G +0.008%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -8.73%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:44
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV +1.59%E +0.369%K +0.481%G +0.008%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -8.24%E -4.39%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:45
Pinnacle🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 22.58%EV -0.539%E -0.128%K -0.168%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.03%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.39%EV -4.34%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -0.775%E -0.184%K -0.242%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:34
betano_uk🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.14%E -0.765%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 13:40
Bet Victor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.14%E -0.765%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.06%EV -5.80%E -3.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 13:34
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 13:34
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 13:34
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:44
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.50%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 13:44
Marathon Bet🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -5.97%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.32%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -5.72%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:49
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -6.68%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:30
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -6.68%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:30
1xBet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -7.39%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.75%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -5.72%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.32%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:34
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -5.32%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:34
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 13:34
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 13:34
Sky Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -7.86%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 13:44
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -9.04%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:39
theScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -10.22%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.73%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 13:35
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.22%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.24%E -4.39%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:34
NetBet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -10.22%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.60%EV -13.12%E -7.37%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -2.39%E -1.19%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 13:34
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 13:35
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 13:35
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:45
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:44
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:44
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:45
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:45
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:44
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:44
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.59%E -3.40%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -8.24%E -4.39%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 13:35
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -14.95%E -4.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.95%E -4.15%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.07%EV -9.22%E -4.96%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -16.13%E -4.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.64%EV -11.17%E -6.14%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -16.13%E -4.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.64%EV -11.17%E -6.14%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -16.13%E -4.54%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.64%EV -11.17%E -6.14%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 13:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -17.31%E -4.95%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -17.31%E -4.95%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.68%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-08-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-08-08 13:55