The School of Odds

Bristol Rovers v Peterborough United

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Bristol Rovers (Local)

Odds
2.6238.17%Min
2.6837.32%Mean
2.6537.74%Median
2.8135.59%Max
Consensus probabilities
33.36%2.997Min
34.40%2.907Max
33.80%2.958Mean
33.70%2.967Median
33.70%2.967IQM
33.76%2.962Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.81 under the IQM model: 33.70%

EV -5.29%Edge -1.88%Kelly -2.92%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Peterborough United (Visit)

Odds
2.2544.44%Min
2.3542.57%Mean
2.3542.55%Median
2.4041.67%Max
Consensus probabilities
37.87%2.641Min
40.10%2.494Max
39.02%2.563Mean
39.07%2.559Median
39.07%2.559IQM
39.12%2.556Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 39.07%

EV -6.23%Edge -2.59%Kelly -4.45%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.2530.77%Min
3.3230.16%Mean
3.2530.77%Median
3.5028.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
26.35%3.794Min
27.73%3.606Max
27.18%3.680Mean
27.22%3.673Median
27.22%3.673IQM
27.12%3.687Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 27.22%

EV -4.72%Edge -1.35%Kelly -1.89%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerBristol Rovers (Local) ▼Peterborough United (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.81I 35.59% NM 33.36%EV -5.29% E -1.88% K -2.92% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 39.06%EV -6.23% E -2.59% K -4.45% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.57%EV -7.44% E -2.19% K -3.10% G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 18:39
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71% NM 33.71%EV -5.63% E -2.01% K -3.13% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 39.33%EV -6.23% E -2.59% K -4.45% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.97%EV -4.72% E -1.35% K -1.89% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 02:59
FanDuel2.80I 35.71% NM 33.43%EV -5.63% E -2.01% K -3.13% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 39.83%EV -8.18% E -3.48% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.74%EV -4.72% E -1.35% K -1.89% G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 14:39
Coolbet2.75I 36.36% NM 34.48%EV -7.32% E -2.66% K -4.18% G +0.000%2.42I 41.32% NM 39.18%EV -5.44% E -2.25% K -3.83% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.34%EV -1.99% E -0.554% K -0.767% G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 20:10
SportsBet2.75I 36.36% NM 33.54%EV -7.32% E -2.66% K -4.18% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.10%EV -10.13% E -4.41% K -7.79% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.35%EV -4.72% E -1.35% K -1.89% G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-26 11:49
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36% NM 33.54%EV -7.32% E -2.66% K -4.18% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.10%EV -10.13% E -4.41% K -7.79% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.35%EV -4.72% E -1.35% K -1.89% G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36% NM 33.54%EV -7.32% E -2.66% K -4.18% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.10%EV -10.13% E -4.41% K -7.79% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.35%EV -4.72% E -1.35% K -1.89% G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-26 14:29
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04% NM 33.84%EV -9.00% E -3.33% K -5.29% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.88%EV -8.18% E -3.48% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.28%EV -8.80% E -2.63% K -3.74% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-02 10:20
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04% NM 33.40%EV -9.00% E -3.33% K -5.29% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 40.08%EV -12.09% E -5.37% K -9.67% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.52%EV -7.44% E -2.19% K -3.10% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 15:10
BetRivers2.65I 37.74% NM 33.98%EV -10.69% E -4.03% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.32%EV -8.18% E -3.48% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.71%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX2.65I 37.74% NM 33.98%EV -10.69% E -4.03% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.32%EV -8.18% E -3.48% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.71%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74% NM 33.98%EV -10.69% E -4.03% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.32%EV -8.18% E -3.48% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.71%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74% NM 33.98%EV -10.69% E -4.03% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.32%EV -8.18% E -3.48% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.71%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74% NM 33.98%EV -10.69% E -4.03% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.32%EV -8.18% E -3.48% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.71%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74% NM 33.98%EV -10.69% E -4.03% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.32%EV -8.18% E -3.48% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.71%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74% NM 33.98%EV -10.69% E -4.03% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.32%EV -8.18% E -3.48% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.71%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74% NM 33.98%EV -10.69% E -4.03% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.32%EV -8.18% E -3.48% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.71%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo2.65I 37.74% NM 33.98%EV -10.69% E -4.03% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.32%EV -8.18% E -3.48% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.71%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74% NM 33.98%EV -10.69% E -4.03% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.32%EV -8.18% E -3.48% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.71%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74% NM 33.98%EV -10.69% E -4.03% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.32%EV -8.18% E -3.48% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.71%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch2.65I 37.74% NM 33.98%EV -10.69% E -4.03% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.32%EV -8.18% E -3.48% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.71%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet2.65I 37.74% NM 33.98%EV -10.69% E -4.03% K -6.48% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.32%EV -8.18% E -3.48% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.71%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:39
William Hill2.62I 38.17% NM 34.40%EV -11.70% E -4.46% K -7.22% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 37.87%EV -7.01% E -2.94% K -5.08% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.73%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 14:00
888sport2.62I 38.17% NM 34.40%EV -11.70% E -4.46% K -7.22% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 37.87%EV -7.01% E -2.94% K -5.08% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.73%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17% NM 34.40%EV -11.70% E -4.46% K -7.22% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 37.87%EV -7.01% E -2.94% K -5.08% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.73%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17% NM 34.40%EV -11.70% E -4.46% K -7.22% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 37.87%EV -7.01% E -2.94% K -5.08% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.73%EV -11.52% E -3.55% K -5.12% G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerBristol Rovers (Local)Peterborough United (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-27 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-27 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:29