Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bristol Rovers v Peterborough United

Início: 2026-08-08 13:59 UTC

Final: Bristol Rovers 0–1 Peterborough United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Previsão 39.93%2.50odd justa
EV -3.76%
Vantagem -1.56%
Kelly -2.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.84%40.01%39.81%41.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.222.322.352.4145.05%43.14%42.55%41.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Peterborough United (Visitante)

Previsão 33.11%3.02odd justa
EV +0.318%
Vantagem +0.105%
Kelly +0.157%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.42%33.08%33.16%34.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.762.753.0338.46%36.24%36.36%33.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.96%3.71odd justa
EV -2.95%
Vantagem -0.819%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.80%26.92%27.03%27.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.433.453.6031.25%29.13%28.99%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Bristol Rovers (Local): 39.93%; Peterborough United (Visitante): 33.11%; Empate: 26.96%. Para Peterborough United (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.02. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.03, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.318%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -7.76%E -3.36%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.42%EV +0.318%E +0.105%K +0.157%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.36%EV -6.18%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 13:45
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -3.99%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.41%EV -7.76%E -3.36%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.30%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -7.80%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.15%E -3.55%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -4.65%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.15%E -3.55%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -4.65%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.15%E -3.55%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -4.65%E -1.61%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -4.96%E -2.08%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.20%EV -5.64%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 13:50
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.15%E -3.55%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.64%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -5.64%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.71%EV -6.63%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:44
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.71%EV -6.63%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:45
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -4.96%E -2.08%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.95%E -0.819%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 13:45
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -4.96%E -2.08%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.95%E -0.819%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 13:48
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -2.95%E -0.819%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -2.95%E -0.819%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:55
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:54
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.15%E -3.55%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 13:44
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 13:45
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.84%EV -3.76%E -1.56%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.79%EV -8.29%E -2.99%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -7.80%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:49
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.96%E -2.08%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -2.95%E -0.819%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 19:50
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -5.36%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.95%E -0.819%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -5.36%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.95%E -0.819%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.95%E -0.819%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 19:50
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.95%E -0.819%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 19:50
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.96%E -2.08%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 13:05
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -6.96%E -2.99%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:40
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.95%E -3.93%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 13:44
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -8.95%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 13:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.33%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.36%EV -9.95%E -3.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.33%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.36%EV -9.95%E -3.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:50
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 05:56
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.75%EV -11.35%E -5.11%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.68%EV -10.61%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -12.26%E -4.63%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -13.92%E -5.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -13.92%E -5.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -13.92%E -5.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -13.92%E -5.35%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -11.03%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-08-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.29%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%1.7%2026-08-08 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.29%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%1.7%2026-08-08 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.29%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%1.7%2026-08-08 13:45