La escuela de los momios

Bristol Rovers v Peterborough United

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Predicción 39.00%2.56momio equitativo
EV +3.36%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +2.04%
Crecimiento +0.069%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.98%38.69%38.93%40.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.442.402.6546.51%40.93%41.67%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Peterborough United (Visitante)

Predicción 34.41%2.91momio equitativo
EV -5.37%
Ventaja -1.95%
Kelly -3.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.46%34.64%34.45%38.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.562.622.7542.55%39.02%38.17%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.59%3.76momio equitativo
EV -4.29%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.50%26.67%26.62%27.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.49%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV +3.36%E +1.27%K +2.04%G +0.069%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -19.14%E -8.14%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV +3.36%E +1.27%K +2.04%G +0.069%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -19.14%E -8.14%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV +3.36%E +1.27%K +2.04%G +0.069%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -19.14%E -8.14%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV +3.36%E +1.27%K +2.04%G +0.069%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -19.14%E -8.14%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV +3.36%E +1.27%K +2.04%G +0.069%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -19.14%E -8.14%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV +3.36%E +1.27%K +2.04%G +0.069%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -19.14%E -8.14%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV +3.36%E +1.27%K +2.04%G +0.069%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -19.14%E -8.14%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV +3.36%E +1.27%K +2.04%G +0.069%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -19.14%E -8.14%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV +3.36%E +1.27%K +2.04%G +0.069%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -19.14%E -8.14%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV +3.36%E +1.27%K +2.04%G +0.069%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -19.14%E -8.14%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV +3.36%E +1.27%K +2.04%G +0.069%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -19.14%E -8.14%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV +3.36%E +1.27%K +2.04%G +0.069%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -19.14%E -8.14%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV +3.36%E +1.27%K +2.04%G +0.069%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -19.14%E -8.14%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV +3.36%E +1.27%K +2.04%G +0.069%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -19.14%E -8.14%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-16 14:05
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -4.44%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -8.82%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 14:30
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -4.44%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 14:30
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -4.44%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -8.82%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 14:30
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.44%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 14:30
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.73%EV -6.00%E -2.49%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.44%EV -6.75%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -7.48%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 14:30
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.73%EV -6.00%E -2.49%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.44%EV -6.75%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -7.48%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 14:30
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.39%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 19:19
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.39%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 02:39
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -6.39%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -9.50%E -3.61%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 14:30
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.39%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 14:29
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.39%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.39%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 14:30
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.39%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 14:30
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 39.24%EV -6.78%E -2.84%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.35%EV -6.06%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -5.62%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 14:30
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -7.17%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -7.78%E -2.90%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 12:25
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -7.17%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -7.78%E -2.90%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.28%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 12:25
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.17%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -7.56%E -3.19%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -8.34%E -3.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -8.34%E -3.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 21:55
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.34%E -3.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.82%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 14:26
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.34%E -3.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.10%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 00:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -10.29%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 23:03
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.29%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 09:04
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.29%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 09:05
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -10.29%E -4.47%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -13.98%E -5.59%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -6.95%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-23 14:35
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.24%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.54%E -4.05%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-21 14:30
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.24%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.09%EV -11.57%E -4.50%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -13.60%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 13:34
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -12.24%E -5.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -13.98%E -5.59%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-22 15:39
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 39.83%EV -12.63%E -5.64%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -9.50%E -3.61%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-21 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 39.83%EV -12.63%E -5.64%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -9.50%E -3.61%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.61%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-21 14:30
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 38.95%EV -16.14%E -7.51%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.89%EV -17.42%E -7.26%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.17%EV -14.93%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-24 06:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%7.6%2026-07-25 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%7.6%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%7.6%2026-07-25 17:45