Language:English
Bristol City v Walsall
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bristol City (Local)
Prediction 66.35%1.51fair odd
EV -5.78%
Edge -4.07%
Kelly -13.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.95%66.57%66.41%71.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.341.361.4278.74%74.51%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Walsall (Visit)
Prediction 13.75%7.27fair odd
EV +3.12%
Edge +0.416%
Kelly +0.480%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.06%13.72%13.56%15.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.057.257.5016.67%14.18%13.79%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.90%5.03fair odd
EV +7.45%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.126%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.74%19.71%20.03%21.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.844.605.4023.26%20.66%21.74%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bristol City (Local): 66.35%; Walsall (Visit): 13.75%; Draw: 19.90%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.03. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126% | 10.6% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126% | 10.6% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126% | 10.6% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126% | 10.6% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126% | 10.6% | 2026-07-02 20:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126% | 10.6% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126% | 10.6% | 2026-07-02 20:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126% | 10.6% | 2026-07-02 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126% | 10.6% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126% | 10.6% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126% | 10.6% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126% | 10.6% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126% | 10.6% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126% | 10.6% | 2026-07-16 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.29%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -12.00%E -1.88%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.21%EV -3.89%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-20 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -17.50%E -2.92%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.49%E -0.935%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-20 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.59%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.78%EV +0.372%E +0.051%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -5.48%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-20 20:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.63%E -1.64%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-20 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -11.09%E -8.27%K -32.61%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -0.316%E -0.044%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-20 19:36 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.46%EV -5.78%E -4.07%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.02%EV -0.316%E -0.044%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-17 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.62%EV -6.44%E -4.57%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -0.316%E -0.044%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 11:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.93%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 7.38I 13.55%NM 12.70%EV +1.47%E +0.199%K +0.231%G +0.003% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-16 00:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.63%E -1.64%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-14 07:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -9.10%E -6.64%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 11:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-20 19:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-20 19:38 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-17 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-17 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -17.50%E -2.92%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-20 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.74%EV -6.44%E -4.57%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.43%EV -5.13%E -0.743%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -11.45%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-20 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.66%EV -7.77%E -5.59%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV +1.75%E +0.236%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -11.45%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-20 20:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 12:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -10.63%E -1.64%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-17 11:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.95%EV -9.10%E -6.64%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -16.13%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.46%EV -13.44%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-13 08:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.95%EV -9.10%E -6.64%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -16.13%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.46%EV -13.44%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-13 08:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-14 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-14 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-14 12:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 66.48%EV -15.07%E -11.77%K -53.82%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 13.73%EV -14.75%E -2.38%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.79%EV -14.44%E -3.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-07-20 19:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 06:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 06:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79% | 5.3% | 2026-07-20 06:30 |
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