The School of Odds

Bristol City v Walsall

2026-08-07 18:45 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Bristol City (Local)

1.2480.65%Min
1.2778.67%Mean
1.2778.74%Median
1.3076.92%Max
69.17%1.446Min
74.39%1.344Max
71.53%1.398Mean
71.39%1.401Median
71.39%1.401IQM
71.69%1.395Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.30 under the IQM model: 71.39%

EV -7.19%Edge -5.53%Kelly -23.98%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Walsall (Visit)

7.0014.29%Min
8.0712.39%Mean
7.5013.33%Median
10.509.52%Max
9.00%11.112Min
12.85%7.785Max
11.28%8.867Mean
11.29%8.856Median
11.29%8.856IQM
11.20%8.929Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 10.50 under the IQM model: 11.29%

EV +18.56%Edge +1.77%Kelly +1.95%Growth +0.363%

Option 3: Draw

5.0020.00%Min
5.3718.62%Mean
5.4018.52%Median
5.7017.54%Max
16.14%6.197Min
17.98%5.560Max
17.19%5.817Mean
17.32%5.774Median
17.32%5.774IQM
17.11%5.843Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.70 under the IQM model: 17.32%

EV -1.28%Edge -0.224%Kelly -0.272%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerBristol City (Local)Walsall (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13% NM 73.82%EV -8.62% E -6.74% K -30.79% G +0.000%10.50I 9.52% NM 9.00%EV +18.56% E +1.77% K +1.95% G +0.363%5.50I 18.18% NM 17.18%EV -4.74% E -0.862% K -1.05% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-02 21:25
SportsBet1.25I 80.00% NM 74.39%EV -10.76% E -8.61% K -43.06% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.30%EV +12.91% E +1.29% K +1.43% G +0.185%5.70I 17.54% NM 16.31%EV -1.28% E -0.224% K -0.272% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 21:25
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00% NM 73.95%EV -10.76% E -8.61% K -43.06% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.24%EV +12.91% E +1.29% K +1.43% G +0.185%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.81%EV -4.74% E -0.862% K -1.05% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-02 21:24
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00% NM 73.95%EV -10.76% E -8.61% K -43.06% G +0.000%10.00I 10.00% NM 9.24%EV +12.91% E +1.29% K +1.43% G +0.185%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.81%EV -4.74% E -0.862% K -1.05% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-02 21:25
1xBet1.27I 78.74% NM 73.76%EV -9.34% E -7.35% K -34.58% G +0.000%9.85I 10.15% NM 9.51%EV +11.22% E +1.14% K +1.27% G +0.142%5.60I 17.86% NM 16.73%EV -3.01% E -0.537% K -0.654% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-02 20:25
FanDuel1.24I 80.65% NM 74.18%EV -11.48% E -9.26% K -47.82% G +0.000%9.50I 10.53% NM 9.68%EV +7.27% E +0.765% K +0.855% G +0.062%5.70I 17.54% NM 16.14%EV -1.28% E -0.224% K -0.272% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-02 21:25
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00% NM 71.58%EV -10.76% E -8.61% K -43.06% G +0.000%8.50I 11.76% NM 10.53%EV -4.02% E -0.473% K -0.537% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.89%EV -13.40% E -2.68% K -3.35% G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-03 21:49
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13% NM 72.02%EV -8.62% E -6.74% K -30.79% G +0.000%8.00I 12.50% NM 11.52%EV -9.67% E -1.21% K -1.38% G +0.000%5.60I 17.86% NM 16.46%EV -3.01% E -0.537% K -0.654% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 11:24
Unibet1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -9.34% E -7.35% K -34.58% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -15.32% E -2.04% K -2.36% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -6.47% E -1.20% K -1.47% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -9.34% E -7.35% K -34.58% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -15.32% E -2.04% K -2.36% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -6.47% E -1.20% K -1.47% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -9.34% E -7.35% K -34.58% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -15.32% E -2.04% K -2.36% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -6.47% E -1.20% K -1.47% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -9.34% E -7.35% K -34.58% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -15.32% E -2.04% K -2.36% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -6.47% E -1.20% K -1.47% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -9.34% E -7.35% K -34.58% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -15.32% E -2.04% K -2.36% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -6.47% E -1.20% K -1.47% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-02 20:04
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -9.34% E -7.35% K -34.58% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -15.32% E -2.04% K -2.36% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -6.47% E -1.20% K -1.47% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
BetRivers1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -9.34% E -7.35% K -34.58% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -15.32% E -2.04% K -2.36% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -6.47% E -1.20% K -1.47% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-02 20:04
TABtouch1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -9.34% E -7.35% K -34.58% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -15.32% E -2.04% K -2.36% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -6.47% E -1.20% K -1.47% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-02 20:04
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -9.34% E -7.35% K -34.58% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -15.32% E -2.04% K -2.36% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -6.47% E -1.20% K -1.47% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
Casumo1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -9.34% E -7.35% K -34.58% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -15.32% E -2.04% K -2.36% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -6.47% E -1.20% K -1.47% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
betPARX1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -9.34% E -7.35% K -34.58% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -15.32% E -2.04% K -2.36% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -6.47% E -1.20% K -1.47% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -9.34% E -7.35% K -34.58% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -15.32% E -2.04% K -2.36% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -6.47% E -1.20% K -1.47% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74% NM 71.20%EV -9.34% E -7.35% K -34.58% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.06%EV -15.32% E -2.04% K -2.36% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.74%EV -6.47% E -1.20% K -1.47% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
William Hill1.30I 76.92% NM 69.17%EV -7.19% E -5.53% K -23.98% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 12.85%EV -20.96% E -2.99% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.98%EV -13.40% E -2.68% K -3.35% G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-02 20:05
888sport1.30I 76.92% NM 69.17%EV -7.19% E -5.53% K -23.98% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 12.85%EV -20.96% E -2.99% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.98%EV -13.40% E -2.68% K -3.35% G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-02 20:04
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92% NM 69.17%EV -7.19% E -5.53% K -23.98% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 12.85%EV -20.96% E -2.99% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.98%EV -13.40% E -2.68% K -3.35% G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-02 20:05
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92% NM 69.17%EV -7.19% E -5.53% K -23.98% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 12.85%EV -20.96% E -2.99% K -3.49% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.98%EV -13.40% E -2.68% K -3.35% G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-02 20:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerBristol City (Local)Walsall (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-02 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-02 21:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-02 21:25