The School of Odds

Bristol City v Walsall

2026-08-07 18:45 UTC — EFL Cup

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Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Bristol City (Local)

Prediction 66.35%1.51fair odd
EV -5.78%
Edge -4.07%
Kelly -13.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.95%66.57%66.41%71.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.271.341.361.4279%75%74%70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Walsall (Visit)

Prediction 13.75%7.27fair odd
EV +3.12%
Edge +0.416%
Kelly +0.480%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.06%13.72%13.56%15.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.007.057.257.5017%14%14%13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 19.90%5.03fair odd
EV +7.45%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.126%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.74%19.71%20.03%21.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.304.844.605.4023%21%22%19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:04
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:04
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:04
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-16 14:05
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 66.29%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -12.00%E -1.88%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.21%EV -3.89%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-20 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -17.50%E -2.92%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.49%E -0.935%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 19:40
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.59%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.20%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.78%EV +0.372%E +0.051%K +0.059%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -5.48%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 20:05
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.63%E -1.64%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 19:40
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -11.09%E -8.27%K -32.61%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -0.316%E -0.044%K -0.051%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-20 19:36
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.46%EV -5.78%E -4.07%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.02%EV -0.316%E -0.044%K -0.051%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 11:45
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.62%EV -6.44%E -4.57%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -0.316%E -0.044%K -0.051%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 11:45
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.93%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.38I 13.55%NM 12.70%EV +1.47%E +0.199%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 00:15
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.63%E -1.64%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 07:34
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -9.10%E -6.64%K -24.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 11:49
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 19:39
betano_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 19:38
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 11:45
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 11:50
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -17.50%E -2.92%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-20 19:40
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 65.74%EV -6.44%E -4.57%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.43%EV -5.13%E -0.743%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -11.45%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 19:40
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.66%EV -7.77%E -5.59%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV +1.75%E +0.236%K +0.273%G +0.005%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -11.45%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 20:05
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-14 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -10.63%E -1.64%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-17 11:44
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 64.95%EV -9.10%E -6.64%K -24.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -16.13%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.46%EV -13.44%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-13 08:04
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 64.95%EV -9.10%E -6.64%K -24.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -16.13%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.46%EV -13.44%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-13 08:04
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 12:19
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 12:19
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 12:19
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 66.48%EV -15.07%E -11.77%K -53.82%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.73%EV -14.75%E -2.38%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.79%EV -14.44%E -3.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%17.5%2026-07-20 19:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%5.3%2026-07-20 06:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%5.3%2026-07-20 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%5.3%2026-07-20 06:30