La escuela de los momios

Bristol City v Walsall

2026-08-07 18:45 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bristol City (Local)

Predicción 66.35%1.51momio equitativo
EV -5.78%
Ventaja -4.07%
Kelly -13.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.95%66.57%66.41%71.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.341.361.4278.74%74.51%73.53%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Walsall (Visitante)

Predicción 13.75%7.27momio equitativo
EV +3.12%
Ventaja +0.416%
Kelly +0.480%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.06%13.72%13.56%15.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.057.257.5016.67%14.18%13.79%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.90%5.03momio equitativo
EV +7.45%
Ventaja +1.38%
Kelly +1.69%
Crecimiento +0.126%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.74%19.71%20.03%21.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.844.605.4023.26%20.66%21.74%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:04
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:04
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:04
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-16 14:05
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 66.29%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -12.00%E -1.88%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.21%EV -3.89%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-20 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -17.50%E -2.92%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.49%E -0.935%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 19:40
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.59%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.20%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.78%EV +0.372%E +0.051%K +0.059%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -5.48%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 20:05
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.63%E -1.64%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 19:40
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -11.09%E -8.27%K -32.61%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -0.316%E -0.044%K -0.051%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-20 19:36
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.46%EV -5.78%E -4.07%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.02%EV -0.316%E -0.044%K -0.051%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 11:45
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.62%EV -6.44%E -4.57%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -0.316%E -0.044%K -0.051%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 11:45
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.93%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.38I 13.55%NM 12.70%EV +1.47%E +0.199%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 00:15
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.63%E -1.64%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 07:34
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -9.10%E -6.64%K -24.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 11:49
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 19:39
betano_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 19:38
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 11:45
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 11:50
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -17.50%E -2.92%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-20 19:40
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 65.74%EV -6.44%E -4.57%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.43%EV -5.13%E -0.743%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -11.45%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 19:40
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.66%EV -7.77%E -5.59%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV +1.75%E +0.236%K +0.273%G +0.005%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -11.45%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 20:05
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-14 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -10.63%E -1.64%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-17 11:44
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 64.95%EV -9.10%E -6.64%K -24.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -16.13%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.46%EV -13.44%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-13 08:04
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 64.95%EV -9.10%E -6.64%K -24.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -16.13%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.46%EV -13.44%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-13 08:04
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 12:19
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 12:19
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 12:19
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 66.48%EV -15.07%E -11.77%K -53.82%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.73%EV -14.75%E -2.38%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.79%EV -14.44%E -3.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%17.5%2026-07-20 19:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%5.3%2026-07-20 06:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%5.3%2026-07-20 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%5.3%2026-07-20 06:30