L’École des cotes

Bristol City v Walsall

2026-08-07 18:45 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bristol City (Local)

Prévision 66.35%1.51cote équitable
EV -5.78%
Avantage -4.07%
Kelly -13.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.95%66.57%66.41%71.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.341.361.4278.74%74.51%73.53%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Walsall (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.75%7.27cote équitable
EV +3.12%
Avantage +0.416%
Kelly +0.480%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.06%13.72%13.56%15.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.057.257.5016.67%14.18%13.79%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.90%5.03cote équitable
EV +7.45%
Avantage +1.38%
Kelly +1.69%
Croissance +0.126%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.74%19.71%20.03%21.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.844.605.4023.26%20.66%21.74%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:04
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:04
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:04
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-02 20:05
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.20%EV -15.73%E -12.39%K -58.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV +3.12%E +0.416%K +0.480%G +0.015%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.74%EV +7.45%E +1.38%K +1.69%G +0.126%10.6%2026-07-16 14:05
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 66.29%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -12.00%E -1.88%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.21%EV -3.89%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-20 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -17.50%E -2.92%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.49%E -0.935%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 19:40
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.59%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.20%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.78%EV +0.372%E +0.051%K +0.059%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -5.48%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 20:05
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -8.43%E -6.11%K -22.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -10.63%E -1.64%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 19:40
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -11.09%E -8.27%K -32.61%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -0.316%E -0.044%K -0.051%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-20 19:36
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.46%EV -5.78%E -4.07%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.02%EV -0.316%E -0.044%K -0.051%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 11:45
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.62%EV -6.44%E -4.57%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -0.316%E -0.044%K -0.051%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 11:45
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.93%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.38I 13.55%NM 12.70%EV +1.47%E +0.199%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 00:15
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.63%E -1.64%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 07:34
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -9.10%E -6.64%K -24.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 11:49
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 19:39
betano_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 19:38
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 11:45
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 11:50
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -17.50%E -2.92%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-20 19:40
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 65.74%EV -6.44%E -4.57%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.43%EV -5.13%E -0.743%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -11.45%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 19:40
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.66%EV -7.77%E -5.59%K -19.92%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV +1.75%E +0.236%K +0.273%G +0.005%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -11.45%E -2.57%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 20:05
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-14 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -10.63%E -1.64%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-17 11:44
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 64.95%EV -9.10%E -6.64%K -24.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -16.13%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.46%EV -13.44%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-13 08:04
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 64.95%EV -9.10%E -6.64%K -24.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -16.13%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.46%EV -13.44%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-13 08:04
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 12:19
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 12:19
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.75%E -0.536%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 12:19
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 66.48%EV -15.07%E -11.77%K -53.82%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.73%EV -14.75%E -2.38%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.79%EV -14.44%E -3.36%K -4.37%G +0.000%17.5%2026-07-20 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%5.3%2026-07-20 06:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%5.3%2026-07-20 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%5.3%2026-07-20 06:30