Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradford City v Rochdale

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradford City (Local)

Prediction 61.74%1.62fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -6.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%61.71%61.69%63.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.501.531.5670.92%66.86%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rochdale (Visit)

Prediction 15.65%6.39fair odd
EV +1.75%
Edge +0.269%
Kelly +0.318%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.33%15.62%15.82%17.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.255.865.806.5019.05%17.06%17.24%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.60%4.42fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.385%
Kelly -0.500%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.85%22.66%22.49%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.994.004.3527.78%25.07%25.00%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bradford City (Local): 61.74%; Rochdale (Visit): 15.65%; Draw: 22.60%. For Rochdale (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.39. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.50, producing a positive expected value of +1.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -7.39%E -4.92%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +1.75%E +0.269%K +0.318%G +0.006%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.06%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 00:59
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -8.62%E -5.82%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV +1.75%E +0.269%K +0.318%G +0.006%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.06%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 00:59
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.62%E -5.82%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +1.75%E +0.269%K +0.318%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 01:00
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.65%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -2.17%E -0.347%K -0.413%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 01:00
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.08%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 00:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.08%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.08%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 00:59
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.08%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 01:00
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.49%EV -10.47%E -7.22%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.08%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -1.67%E -0.385%K -0.500%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 23:25
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -10.47%E -7.22%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.08%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-03 00:53
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -10.47%E -7.22%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.08%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-03 00:53
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -11.09%E -7.70%K -25.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.08%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-03 00:59
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -9.21%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -8.45%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 01:20
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV -9.21%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.11%E -3.71%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 00:59
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -9.99%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -15.24%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 00:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -9.99%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -15.24%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 00:59
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -9.99%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -15.24%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 00:59
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.48%EV -11.09%E -1.95%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12%EV -8.45%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 01:23
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 59.72%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.46%EV -11.40%E -2.01%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.83%EV -11.62%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 00:25
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -10.47%E -7.22%K -23.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -12.34%E -2.20%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-03 00:49
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.14%EV -12.33%E -8.68%K -29.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -12.34%E -2.20%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -2.80%E -0.652%K -0.850%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 23:25
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.98%EV -12.94%E -9.18%K -31.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -13.91%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.13%EV -10.72%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-03 00:35
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.30%EV -12.94%E -9.18%K -31.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -15.47%E -2.87%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 23:24
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.14%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -17.82%E -3.39%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -17.50%E -4.79%K -6.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-03 00:25
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 59.73%EV -11.09%E -7.70%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.38%EV -17.82%E -3.39%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -18.63%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-03 00:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.