Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradford City v Rochdale

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Final: Bradford City 2–0 Rochdale

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradford City (Local)

Prediction 60.51%1.65fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -7.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.53%60.31%60.57%62.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.541.551.5869.44%64.89%64.52%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rochdale (Visit)

Prediction 16.46%6.07fair odd
EV +2.89%
Edge +0.463%
Kelly +0.551%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.16%16.61%16.46%18.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.475.506.2520.41%18.29%18.18%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.03%4.34fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.248%
Kelly +0.321%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.28%23.08%22.96%24.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.934.004.3927.78%25.46%25.00%22.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bradford City (Local): 60.51%; Rochdale (Visit): 16.46%; Draw: 23.03%. For Rochdale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.07. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV +2.89%E +0.463%K +0.551%G +0.016%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 06:40
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV +2.89%E +0.463%K +0.551%G +0.016%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 06:20
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -1.22%E -0.204%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 02:05
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -1.22%E -0.204%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.23%E -6.16%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -1.22%E -0.204%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 08:09
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -10.45%E -7.06%K -21.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -1.22%E -0.204%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 08:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.66%EV -2.05%E -0.344%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -8.35%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:40
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.67%EV -5.60%E -3.59%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 15.96%EV -2.37%E -0.400%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.37%EV -6.74%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 10:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.23%E -6.16%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.51%E -0.778%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 11:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -9.23%E -6.16%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 13:34
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.39%EV -5.60%E -3.59%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -11.35%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -4.39%E -2.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 09:24
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 10:15
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -5.60%E -3.59%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 09:24
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 02:09
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:40
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -4.39%E -2.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 11:29
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -15.95%E -4.37%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -12.87%E -8.93%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-04 08:09
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -12.87%E -8.93%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-05 14:03
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.96%EV -12.26%E -8.46%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.37%EV -11.10%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -10.20%E -2.61%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:44
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 10:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.33%EV -8.02%E -5.28%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.05%EV -14.39%E -2.77%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -17.10%E -4.75%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.33%EV -8.02%E -5.28%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.05%EV -14.39%E -2.77%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -17.10%E -4.75%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.49%EV -8.63%E -5.72%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.98%EV -14.39%E -2.77%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -17.10%E -4.75%K -6.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:50
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.46%EV -16.70%E -3.30%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.28%EV +1.09%E +0.248%K +0.321%G +0.003%7.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -6.81%E -4.42%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -8.02%E -5.28%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 12:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -4.39%E -2.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -19.33%E -3.95%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 12:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -4.39%E -2.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -19.33%E -3.95%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -9.23%E -6.16%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -19.33%E -3.95%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 12:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.66%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%1.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-08-08 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-08-08 13:40

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