Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bradford City v Rochdale

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Frente a frente

29 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bradford City (Local)

Previsão 60.81%1.64odd justa
EV -5.74%
Vantagem -3.70%
Kelly -10.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.14%60.85%60.76%63.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.511.521.5569.44%66.19%65.79%64.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rochdale (Visitante)

Previsão 16.39%6.10odd justa
EV +6.55%
Vantagem +1.01%
Kelly +1.19%
Crescimento +0.078%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.45%16.39%16.47%18.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.805.695.756.5020.83%17.59%17.39%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.79%4.39odd justa
EV -1.98%
Vantagem -0.461%
Kelly -0.601%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.87%22.76%22.77%24.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.654.024.004.3027.40%24.85%25.00%23.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Bradford City (Local): 60.81%; Rochdale (Visitante): 16.39%; Empate: 22.79%. Para Rochdale (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 6.10. 3 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 6.50, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +6.55%.

Odds das casas de apostas (29 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +6.55%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.078%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.26%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 10:00
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -10.00%E -6.76%K -20.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV +6.55%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.078%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -1.98%E -0.461%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 10:03
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -10.00%E -6.76%K -20.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +6.55%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.078%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -3.12%E -0.735%K -0.961%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 10:04
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -5.74%E -3.70%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -1.64%E -0.274%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -4.26%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 15:34
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -6.35%E -4.12%K -11.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -1.64%E -0.274%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -4.26%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -6.96%E -4.55%K -13.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -1.64%E -0.274%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.26%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 14:35
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -12.43%E -8.63%K -28.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -1.64%E -0.274%K -0.329%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-03 14:18
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -7.56%E -4.98%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.67%EV -2.46%E -0.414%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -7.68%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 11:45
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.80%EV -6.35%E -4.12%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.09%EV -4.59%E -0.789%K -0.953%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12%EV -7.68%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 11:50
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 60.07%EV -5.74%E -3.70%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -4.92%E -0.849%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -11.10%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -7.56%E -4.98%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -4.92%E -0.849%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -6.54%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 15:34
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -7.56%E -4.98%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -4.92%E -0.849%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -6.54%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 14:29
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.92%E -0.849%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 06:59
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -5.74%E -0.998%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.10%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 14:59
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -5.74%E -0.998%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.10%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 06:54
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -5.74%E -3.70%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.33%EV -6.56%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.62%EV -10.19%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 09:55
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -8.20%E -1.46%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 15:34
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -5.74%E -3.70%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -9.84%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.26%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 14:09
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -6.35%E -4.12%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -9.84%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.54%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 11:20
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.96%E -4.55%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -9.84%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.10%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 11:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.96%E -4.55%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -9.84%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.10%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 11:34
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.96%E -4.55%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -9.84%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.10%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 11:35
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.84%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 14:29
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.14%EV -5.74%E -3.70%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -13.94%E -2.65%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -16.80%E -4.60%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-03 00:25
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.30%EV -12.43%E -8.63%K -28.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.54%EV -13.94%E -2.65%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-03 09:59
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -14.76%E -2.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-03 09:00
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.38%EV -11.82%E -8.15%K -26.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.17%EV -16.40%E -3.21%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.45%EV -11.10%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-03 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.19%EV -9.39%E -6.30%K -19.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.04%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -6.54%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-03 08:35
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.75%EV -10.61%E -7.21%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -21.31%E -4.44%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-03 08:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-03 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-03 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-03 14:15