Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bradford City v Rochdale

Início: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Final: Bradford City 2–0 Rochdale

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bradford City (Local)

Previsão 60.51%1.65odd justa
EV -4.39%
Vantagem -2.78%
Kelly -7.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.53%60.31%60.57%62.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.541.551.5869.44%64.89%64.52%63.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rochdale (Visitante)

Previsão 16.46%6.07odd justa
EV +2.89%
Vantagem +0.463%
Kelly +0.551%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.16%16.61%16.46%18.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.905.475.506.2520.41%18.29%18.18%16.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.03%4.34odd justa
EV +1.09%
Vantagem +0.248%
Kelly +0.321%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.28%23.08%22.96%24.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.934.004.3927.78%25.46%25.00%22.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Bradford City (Local): 60.51%; Rochdale (Visitante): 16.46%; Empate: 23.03%. Para Rochdale (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.07. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.89%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV +2.89%E +0.463%K +0.551%G +0.016%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 06:40
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV +2.89%E +0.463%K +0.551%G +0.016%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 06:20
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -1.22%E -0.204%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 02:05
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -1.22%E -0.204%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.23%E -6.16%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -1.22%E -0.204%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 08:09
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -10.45%E -7.06%K -21.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -1.22%E -0.204%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 08:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.66%EV -2.05%E -0.344%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -8.35%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:40
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.67%EV -5.60%E -3.59%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 15.96%EV -2.37%E -0.400%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.37%EV -6.74%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 10:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.23%E -6.16%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.51%E -0.778%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 11:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -9.23%E -6.16%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 13:34
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.39%EV -5.60%E -3.59%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -11.35%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -4.39%E -2.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 09:24
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 10:15
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -5.60%E -3.59%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 09:24
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 02:09
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:40
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -4.39%E -2.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 11:29
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -15.95%E -4.37%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -12.87%E -8.93%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-04 08:09
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -12.87%E -8.93%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-05 14:03
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.96%EV -12.26%E -8.46%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.37%EV -11.10%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -10.20%E -2.61%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:44
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 10:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.33%EV -8.02%E -5.28%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.05%EV -14.39%E -2.77%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -17.10%E -4.75%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.33%EV -8.02%E -5.28%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.05%EV -14.39%E -2.77%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -17.10%E -4.75%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.49%EV -8.63%E -5.72%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.98%EV -14.39%E -2.77%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -17.10%E -4.75%K -6.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:50
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.46%EV -16.70%E -3.30%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.28%EV +1.09%E +0.248%K +0.321%G +0.003%7.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -6.81%E -4.42%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -8.02%E -5.28%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 12:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -4.39%E -2.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -19.33%E -3.95%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 12:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -4.39%E -2.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -19.33%E -3.95%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -9.23%E -6.16%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -19.33%E -3.95%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 12:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.66%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%1.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-08-08 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-08-08 13:40