默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bradford City v Rochdale

开赛时间: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

最终结果: Bradford City 2–0 Rochdale

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bradford City (主队)

预测 60.51%1.65公平赔率
EV -4.39%
优势 -2.78%
Kelly -7.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.58

博彩公司预测分布
57.53%60.31%60.57%62.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.541.551.5869.44%64.89%64.52%63.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

Rochdale (客队)

预测 16.46%6.07公平赔率
EV +2.89%
优势 +0.463%
Kelly +0.551%
增长率 +0.016%

假设最高赔率为 6.25

博彩公司预测分布
15.16%16.61%16.46%18.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.905.475.506.2520.41%18.29%18.18%16.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.03%4.34公平赔率
EV +1.09%
优势 +0.248%
Kelly +0.321%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 4.39

博彩公司预测分布
21.28%23.08%22.96%24.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.934.004.3927.78%25.46%25.00%22.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Bradford City (主队):60.51%;Rochdale (客队):16.46%;平局:23.03%。 对于“Rochdale (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.07。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.25,对应+2.89%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV +2.89%E +0.463%K +0.551%G +0.016%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 06:40
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV +2.89%E +0.463%K +0.551%G +0.016%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 06:20
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -1.22%E -0.204%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 02:05
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -1.22%E -0.204%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.23%E -6.16%K -18.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -1.22%E -0.204%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 08:09
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -10.45%E -7.06%K -21.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -1.22%E -0.204%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 08:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.66%EV -2.05%E -0.344%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -8.35%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:40
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.67%EV -5.60%E -3.59%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 15.96%EV -2.37%E -0.400%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.37%EV -6.74%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 10:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.23%E -6.16%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.51%E -0.778%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 11:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -9.23%E -6.16%K -18.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 13:34
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.39%EV -5.60%E -3.59%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -11.35%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -4.39%E -2.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 09:24
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 10:15
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -5.60%E -3.59%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 09:24
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 02:09
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:40
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -4.39%E -2.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.00%E -3.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-04 11:29
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -15.95%E -4.37%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -12.87%E -8.93%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-04 08:09
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -12.87%E -8.93%K -29.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-05 14:03
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.96%EV -12.26%E -8.46%K -27.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.37%EV -11.10%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -10.20%E -2.61%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:44
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 10:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.33%EV -8.02%E -5.28%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.05%EV -14.39%E -2.77%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -17.10%E -4.75%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.33%EV -8.02%E -5.28%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.05%EV -14.39%E -2.77%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -17.10%E -4.75%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.49%EV -8.63%E -5.72%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.98%EV -14.39%E -2.77%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -17.10%E -4.75%K -6.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:50
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.21%E -4.01%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.46%EV -16.70%E -3.30%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.28%EV +1.09%E +0.248%K +0.321%G +0.003%7.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -6.81%E -4.42%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.29%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -8.02%E -5.28%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 12:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.42%E -4.85%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.69%E -3.54%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -4.39%E -2.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -19.33%E -3.95%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 12:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -4.39%E -2.78%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -19.33%E -3.95%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -9.23%E -6.16%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -19.33%E -3.95%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -7.89%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 12:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.66%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%1.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-08-08 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-08-08 13:40