Language:English
Barnsley v Crewe Alexandra
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barnsley (Local)
Prediction 56.18%1.78fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.82%56.35%56.16%59.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.631.621.7265.36%61.32%61.73%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crewe Alexandra (Visit)
Prediction 20.29%4.93fair odd
EV -0.577%
Edge -0.118%
Kelly -0.148%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.77%20.16%20.31%20.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.634.604.9023.26%21.59%21.74%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.53%4.25fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.284%
Kelly -0.373%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.62%23.50%23.52%25.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.984.004.2027.78%25.15%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnsley (Local): 56.18%; Crewe Alexandra (Visit): 20.29%; Draw: 23.53%. For Crewe Alexandra (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.90, with an expected value of -0.577%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.36%E -1.96%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -4.63%E -0.986%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.77%EV -3.36%E -1.96%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.58%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.66%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.05%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.05%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -4.63%E -0.986%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.48%EV -4.72%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -4.63%E -0.986%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.48%EV -4.72%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -3.62%E -0.762%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.92%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -4.63%E -0.986%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -2.61%E -0.543%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -4.63%E -0.986%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -6.73%E -4.06%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.57%EV -7.88%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.17%EV -5.19%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -3.62%E -0.762%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 17:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -3.62%E -0.762%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.15%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.57%EV -5.65%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-25 17:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.15%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.57%EV -5.65%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-25 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%EV -7.86%E -4.79%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.08%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -7.86%E -4.79%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -7.08%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -12.14%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -9.54%E -5.93%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -9.54%E -5.93%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -9.54%E -5.93%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.08%EV -9.54%E -5.93%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -12.75%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -14.13%E -3.87%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.79%E -7.51%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -3.62%E -0.762%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.79%E -7.51%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -3.62%E -0.762%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.79%E -7.51%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -3.62%E -0.762%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -11.79%E -7.51%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -4.63%E -0.986%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.20%EV -12.35%E -7.92%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -12.91%E -8.33%K -23.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.64%EV -13.48%E -8.75%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.17%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -14.04%E -9.18%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -14.04%E -9.18%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -14.04%E -9.18%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.78% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.24% | 0.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 0.9% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.91% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00% | 1.6% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.91% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00% | 1.6% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |