Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barnsley v Crewe Alexandra

Início: 2026-08-25 18:45 UTC

Final: Barnsley 3–2 Crewe Alexandra

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barnsley (Local)

Previsão 56.18%1.78odd justa
EV -3.36%
Vantagem -1.96%
Kelly -4.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.82%56.35%56.16%59.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.631.621.7265.36%61.32%61.73%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Crewe Alexandra (Visitante)

Previsão 20.29%4.93odd justa
EV -0.577%
Vantagem -0.118%
Kelly -0.148%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.77%20.16%20.31%20.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.304.634.604.9023.26%21.59%21.74%20.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.53%4.25odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -0.284%
Kelly -0.373%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.62%23.50%23.52%25.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.984.004.2027.78%25.15%25.00%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Barnsley (Local): 56.18%; Crewe Alexandra (Visitante): 20.29%; Empate: 23.53%. Para Crewe Alexandra (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.93. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.90, com valor esperado de -0.577%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.36%E -1.96%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -4.63%E -0.986%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-25 18:19
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.77%EV -3.36%E -1.96%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.58%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.66%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-25 18:24
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.05%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:28
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.05%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:29
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -4.63%E -0.986%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.48%EV -4.72%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -4.63%E -0.986%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.48%EV -4.72%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:24
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -3.62%E -0.762%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 18:14
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.92%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -4.63%E -0.986%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 18:09
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -2.61%E -0.543%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:14
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -6.66%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:24
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -4.63%E -0.986%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 18:09
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 18:29
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.26%EV -6.73%E -4.06%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.57%EV -7.88%E -1.74%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.17%EV -5.19%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -3.62%E -0.762%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 17:44
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -3.62%E -0.762%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-25 18:19
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.15%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.57%EV -5.65%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 17:59
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.15%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.57%EV -5.65%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 18:00
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%EV -7.86%E -4.79%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.08%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 18:38
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -7.86%E -4.79%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -7.08%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 18:24
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:34
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:35
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 18:39
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-25 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 18:09
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-25 18:19
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -12.14%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 18:09
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -9.54%E -5.93%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -9.54%E -5.93%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 18:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -9.54%E -5.93%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.08%EV -9.54%E -5.93%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -12.75%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -14.13%E -3.87%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.79%E -7.51%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -3.62%E -0.762%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.79%E -7.51%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -3.62%E -0.762%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 18:35
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.79%E -7.51%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -3.62%E -0.762%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -11.79%E -7.51%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -4.63%E -0.986%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-25 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.20%EV -12.35%E -7.92%K -22.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-25 18:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -12.91%E -8.33%K -23.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -0.577%E -0.118%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-25 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.64%EV -13.48%E -8.75%K -24.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.17%EV -10.72%E -2.44%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-25 18:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -14.04%E -9.18%K -26.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-25 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -14.04%E -9.18%K -26.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-25 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -14.04%E -9.18%K -26.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -8.69%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-25 18:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.24%0.1%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00%1.6%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.91%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00%1.6%2026-08-25 18:39