Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Bromwich Albion v Queens Park Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 11:30 UTC

Final: West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Queens Park Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Bromwich Albion (Local)

Prediction 48.62%2.06fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -4.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.55%48.65%48.60%50.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.901.911.9656.82%52.51%52.36%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Queens Park Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 25.58%3.91fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.389%
Kelly -0.526%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.86%25.58%25.61%26.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.643.603.8530.30%27.50%27.74%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.520%
Kelly -0.705%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.86%25.76%25.79%26.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.613.603.8029.85%27.73%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Bromwich Albion (Local): 48.62%; Queens Park Rangers (Visit): 25.58%; Draw: 25.80%. For Queens Park Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.71%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.65%EV -5.59%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.07%EV -6.36%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:20
NordicBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.71%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.65%EV -5.59%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.07%EV -6.36%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:20
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -4.06%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:15
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:20
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:15
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.95%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -1.50%E -0.389%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 06:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -1.50%E -0.389%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 06:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -1.50%E -0.389%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 06:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.14%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.78%E -0.731%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 13:15
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.73%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.73%EV -5.59%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:20
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.11%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -4.06%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 11:35
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.38%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:25
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 13:49
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -2.78%E -0.731%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -1.97%E -0.520%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 13:15
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.06%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 21:25
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 22:04
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 00:59
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 06:14
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 13:20
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.17%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 00:19
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:09
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:10
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 11:33
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 06:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 07:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 06:24
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 06:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 06:25
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 06:25
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 06:24
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.60%E -4.57%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 06:25
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 11:55
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 06:25
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 06:25
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.47%EV -9.57%E -5.14%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -9.17%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 06:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.47%EV -9.57%E -5.14%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -9.17%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 06:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 06:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.10%EV -10.54%E -5.73%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 13:15
ReBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.46%EV -10.54%E -5.73%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.07%EV -11.78%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 13:15
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 13:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.79%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -12.29%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-08 11:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.00%EV -12.97%E -7.25%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.20%EV -10.97%E -3.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -12.29%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 13:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.57%EV -14.43%E -8.20%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -15.57%E -4.72%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.52%EV -13.58%E -4.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-06 13:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%8.8%2026-09-09 14:55
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%3.03I 33.00%NM 27.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 29.64%18.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 43.59%2.62I 38.17%NM 31.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.97%21.4%2026-09-09 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 38.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 23.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 38.35%37.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 38.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 23.80%1.90I 52.63%NM 38.20%37.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 46.96%2.92I 34.25%NM 20.91%1.90I 52.63%NM 32.13%63.8%2026-09-09 17:40