Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

West Bromwich Albion v Queens Park Rangers

Inicio: 2026-09-12 11:30 UTC

Final: West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Queens Park Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

West Bromwich Albion (Local)

Predicción 48.62%2.06momio equitativo
EV -4.71%
Ventaja -2.40%
Kelly -4.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.55%48.65%48.60%50.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.761.901.911.9656.82%52.51%52.36%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Queens Park Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 25.58%3.91momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.389%
Kelly -0.526%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.86%25.58%25.61%26.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.643.603.8530.30%27.50%27.74%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.80%3.88momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.520%
Kelly -0.705%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.86%25.76%25.79%26.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.613.603.8029.85%27.73%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: West Bromwich Albion (Local): 48.62%; Queens Park Rangers (Visitante): 25.58%; Empate: 25.80%. Para Queens Park Rangers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.91. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.85, con un valor esperado de -1.50%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.71%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.65%EV -5.59%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.07%EV -6.36%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:20
NordicBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.71%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.65%EV -5.59%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.07%EV -6.36%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:20
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -4.06%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:15
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:20
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:15
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.95%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -1.50%E -0.389%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 06:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -1.50%E -0.389%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 06:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -1.50%E -0.389%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 06:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.14%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.78%E -0.731%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 13:15
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.73%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.73%EV -5.59%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:20
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.11%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -4.06%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 11:35
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.38%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:25
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 13:49
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -2.78%E -0.731%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -1.97%E -0.520%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 13:15
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.06%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 21:25
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 22:04
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 00:59
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 06:14
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 13:20
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.17%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 00:19
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:09
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:10
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 11:33
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 06:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 07:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 06:24
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 06:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 06:25
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 06:25
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 06:24
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.60%E -4.57%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 06:25
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 11:55
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 06:25
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 06:25
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.47%EV -9.57%E -5.14%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -9.17%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 06:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.47%EV -9.57%E -5.14%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -9.17%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 06:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 06:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.10%EV -10.54%E -5.73%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 13:15
ReBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.46%EV -10.54%E -5.73%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.07%EV -11.78%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 13:15
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 13:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.79%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -12.29%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-08 11:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.00%EV -12.97%E -7.25%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.20%EV -10.97%E -3.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -12.29%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 13:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.57%EV -14.43%E -8.20%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -15.57%E -4.72%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.52%EV -13.58%E -4.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-06 13:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%8.8%2026-09-09 14:55
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%3.03I 33.00%NM 27.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 29.64%18.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 43.59%2.62I 38.17%NM 31.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.97%21.4%2026-09-09 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 38.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 23.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 38.35%37.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 38.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 23.80%1.90I 52.63%NM 38.20%37.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 46.96%2.92I 34.25%NM 20.91%1.90I 52.63%NM 32.13%63.8%2026-09-09 17:40