Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

West Bromwich Albion v Queens Park Rangers

Início: 2026-09-12 11:30 UTC

Final: West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Queens Park Rangers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

West Bromwich Albion (Local)

Previsão 48.62%2.06odd justa
EV -4.71%
Vantagem -2.40%
Kelly -4.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.55%48.65%48.60%50.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.761.901.911.9656.82%52.51%52.36%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Queens Park Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 25.58%3.91odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.389%
Kelly -0.526%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.86%25.58%25.61%26.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.643.603.8530.30%27.50%27.74%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.80%3.88odd justa
EV -1.97%
Vantagem -0.520%
Kelly -0.705%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.86%25.76%25.79%26.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.613.603.8029.85%27.73%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: West Bromwich Albion (Local): 48.62%; Queens Park Rangers (Visitante): 25.58%; Empate: 25.80%. Para Queens Park Rangers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.91. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.85, com valor esperado de -1.50%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.71%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.65%EV -5.59%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.07%EV -6.36%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:20
NordicBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.71%E -2.40%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.65%EV -5.59%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.07%EV -6.36%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:20
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -4.06%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:15
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:20
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:15
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.95%EV -7.64%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.19%E -2.66%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -1.50%E -0.389%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 06:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -1.50%E -0.389%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 06:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -1.50%E -0.389%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 06:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.14%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.78%E -0.731%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 13:15
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.73%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.73%EV -5.59%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:20
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -5.68%E -2.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.11%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -4.06%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 11:35
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.38%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:25
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 13:49
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -6.17%E -3.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -2.78%E -0.731%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -1.97%E -0.520%K -0.705%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 13:15
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -6.65%E -3.46%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.06%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -3.26%E -0.870%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 21:25
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 22:04
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 00:59
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 06:14
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 13:20
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.17%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 00:19
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:09
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.14%E -3.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:10
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 11:33
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 06:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 07:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 06:24
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 06:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 06:25
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 06:25
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -8.11%E -4.29%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 06:24
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.60%E -4.57%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 06:25
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 11:55
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 06:25
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 06:25
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.08%E -4.86%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.71%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.47%EV -9.57%E -5.14%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -9.17%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 06:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.47%EV -9.57%E -5.14%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -9.17%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 06:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.00%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 06:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.10%EV -10.54%E -5.73%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 13:15
ReBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.46%EV -10.54%E -5.73%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.07%EV -11.78%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 13:15
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -11.03%E -6.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 13:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.79%EV -12.00%E -6.63%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -12.29%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-08 11:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.00%EV -12.97%E -7.25%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.20%EV -10.97%E -3.15%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -12.29%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 13:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.57%EV -14.43%E -8.20%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -15.57%E -4.72%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.52%EV -13.58%E -4.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-06 13:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%8.8%2026-09-09 14:55
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%3.03I 33.00%NM 27.98%2.86I 34.97%NM 29.64%18.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 43.59%2.62I 38.17%NM 31.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.97%21.4%2026-09-09 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 38.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 23.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 38.35%37.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 38.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 23.80%1.90I 52.63%NM 38.20%37.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 46.96%2.92I 34.25%NM 20.91%1.90I 52.63%NM 32.13%63.8%2026-09-09 17:40