Language:English
Millwall v Hull City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Millwall (Local)
Prediction 52.39%1.91fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.29%52.39%52.46%55.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.801.8660.61%56.47%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hull City (Visit)
Prediction 20.60%4.86fair odd
EV +2.98%
Edge +0.596%
Kelly +0.745%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.14%20.57%20.53%21.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.594.605.0024.39%21.78%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.02%3.70fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.349%
Kelly +0.476%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%27.04%27.01%29.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.503.503.7533.33%28.59%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Millwall (Local): 52.39%; Hull City (Visit): 20.60%; Draw: 27.02%. For Hull City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.86. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.98%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.19%EV -8.84%E -5.08%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +2.98%E +0.596%K +0.745%G +0.022% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV +1.31%E +0.349%K +0.476%G +0.006% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.09%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.09%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.09%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.09%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.09%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -10.94%E -6.44%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -10.94%E -6.44%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.73%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.86%EV +0.095%E +0.019%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.41%EV -4.90%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -1.14%E -0.238%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -1.14%E -0.238%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -1.14%E -0.238%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -12.51%E -7.49%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -1.14%E -0.238%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46%EV -3.08%E -1.67%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.43%EV -2.17%E -0.457%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.11%EV -3.28%E -0.917%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.17%E -0.457%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -2.17%E -0.457%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -13.56%E -8.22%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -2.17%E -0.457%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.31%EV -4.65%E -2.56%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.60%EV -2.99%E -0.636%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.08%EV +0.500%E +0.134%K +0.184%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-05-11 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.73%EV -8.84%E -5.08%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.23%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.04%EV -3.01%E -0.839%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 18:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.27%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.94%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 18:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.07%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -7.27%E -4.11%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -7.27%E -4.11%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.39%EV -11.99%E -7.14%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.39%EV -11.99%E -7.14%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV +1.31%E +0.349%K +0.476%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.32%E -4.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.92%EV -7.27%E -4.11%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.65%EV -8.35%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.50%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.56%E -1.38%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.43%EV -8.76%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.79%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -4.65%E -2.56%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.75%E -3.79%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.75%E -3.79%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.37%E -5.42%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.76%EV -4.65%E -2.56%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -10.41%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.83%EV -11.46%E -6.78%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -10.41%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.50%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.58%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -10.82%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 18:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -3.08%E -1.67%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -12.47%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -8.84%E -5.08%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -9.37%E -5.42%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -18.95%E -6.32%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-11 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.94%EV -9.89%E -5.75%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -15.56%E -3.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |