La escuela de los momios

Millwall v Hull City

Inicio: 2026-05-11 19:00 UTC

Final: Millwall 0–2 Hull City

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Millwall (Local)

Predicción 52.39%1.91momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -2.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.29%52.39%52.46%55.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.771.801.8660.61%56.47%55.56%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hull City (Visitante)

Predicción 20.60%4.86momio equitativo
EV +2.98%
Ventaja +0.596%
Kelly +0.745%
Crecimiento +0.022%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.14%20.57%20.53%21.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.594.605.0024.39%21.78%21.74%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.02%3.70momio equitativo
EV +1.31%
Ventaja +0.349%
Kelly +0.476%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.53%27.04%27.01%29.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.503.503.7533.33%28.59%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.19%EV -8.84%E -5.08%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +2.98%E +0.596%K +0.745%G +0.022%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV +1.31%E +0.349%K +0.476%G +0.006%4.1%2026-05-11 18:29
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.09%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:29
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.09%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.09%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:29
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.09%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:29
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.09%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:30
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -10.94%E -6.44%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 18:30
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -10.94%E -6.44%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 18:29
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.73%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.86%EV +0.095%E +0.019%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.41%EV -4.90%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-11 18:49
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -1.14%E -0.238%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 18:35
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -1.14%E -0.238%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 18:35
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -1.14%E -0.238%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:39
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -12.51%E -7.49%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -1.14%E -0.238%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 18:29
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46%EV -3.08%E -1.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.43%EV -2.17%E -0.457%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.11%EV -3.28%E -0.917%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-11 18:50
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.17%E -0.457%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 18:40
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -2.17%E -0.457%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 18:40
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -13.56%E -8.22%K -20.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -2.17%E -0.457%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 18:29
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.31%EV -4.65%E -2.56%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.60%EV -2.99%E -0.636%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.08%EV +0.500%E +0.134%K +0.184%G +0.001%3.1%2026-05-11 18:50
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 53.73%EV -8.84%E -5.08%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.23%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.04%EV -3.01%E -0.839%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:28
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.27%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.94%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 18:39
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.07%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 18:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 18:34
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 18:49
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -7.27%E -4.11%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 18:29
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 18:49
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -7.27%E -4.11%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:40
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.39%EV -11.99%E -7.14%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.39%EV -11.99%E -7.14%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 18:29
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV +1.31%E +0.349%K +0.476%G +0.006%4.4%2026-05-11 18:50
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 18:35
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 18:40
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 18:39
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.32%E -4.75%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 18:29
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.92%EV -7.27%E -4.11%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.65%EV -8.35%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.50%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 18:34
Betsson1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.56%E -1.38%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.43%EV -8.76%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.79%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 18:34
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -4.65%E -2.56%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 18:49
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.75%E -3.79%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.75%E -3.79%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 18:29
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 18:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-11 18:34
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 18:34
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.37%E -5.42%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-11 18:49
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.76%EV -4.65%E -2.56%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -10.41%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-11 18:50
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.83%EV -11.46%E -6.78%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -10.41%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.50%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-11 18:34
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.58%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -10.82%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 18:50
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -3.08%E -1.67%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -12.47%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 18:34
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -8.84%E -5.08%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-11 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -9.37%E -5.42%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -18.95%E -6.32%K -9.48%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-11 18:39
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.94%EV -9.89%E -5.75%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -15.56%E -3.79%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-11 18:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-05-11 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-05-11 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-05-11 18:49
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-05-11 18:49
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-05-11 18:49