L’École des cotesMillwall v Hull City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Millwall (Local)
Prévision 52.39%1.91cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -2.97%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.86
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.29%52.39%52.46%55.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.771.801.8660.61%56.47%55.56%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Hull City (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.60%4.86cote équitable
EV +2.98%
Avantage +0.596%
Kelly +0.745%
Croissance +0.022%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.14%20.57%20.53%21.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.594.605.0024.39%21.78%21.74%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.02%3.70cote équitable
EV +1.31%
Avantage +0.349%
Kelly +0.476%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.53%27.04%27.01%29.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.503.503.7533.33%28.59%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.19%EV -8.84%E -5.08%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +2.98%E +0.596%K +0.745%G +0.022% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV +1.31%E +0.349%K +0.476%G +0.006% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.09%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.09%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.09%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.09%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -10.42%E -6.09%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-11 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -10.94%E -6.44%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 18:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -10.94%E -6.44%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +0.918%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.73%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.86%EV +0.095%E +0.019%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.41%EV -4.90%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -1.14%E -0.238%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -1.14%E -0.238%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -1.14%E -0.238%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-11 18:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -12.51%E -7.49%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -1.14%E -0.238%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46%EV -3.08%E -1.67%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.43%EV -2.17%E -0.457%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.11%EV -3.28%E -0.917%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 18:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.17%E -0.457%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 18:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -2.17%E -0.457%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -13.56%E -8.22%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -2.17%E -0.457%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.31%EV -4.65%E -2.56%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.60%EV -2.99%E -0.636%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.08%EV +0.500%E +0.134%K +0.184%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-05-11 18:50 |
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.73%EV -8.84%E -5.08%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.23%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.04%EV -3.01%E -0.839%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 18:28 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.27%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.94%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 18:39 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.07%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -1.39%E -0.381%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -7.27%E -4.11%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -7.27%E -4.11%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.39%EV -11.99%E -7.14%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.39%EV -11.99%E -7.14%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -5.26%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV +1.31%E +0.349%K +0.476%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 18:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 18:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 18:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.32%E -4.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.32%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.92%EV -7.27%E -4.11%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.65%EV -8.35%E -1.88%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -9.50%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betsson | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.56%E -1.38%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.43%EV -8.76%E -1.98%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.79%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -4.65%E -2.56%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.75%E -3.79%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.75%E -3.79%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 18:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 18:50 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -5.70%E -3.17%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.37%E -5.42%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -9.38%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.76%EV -4.65%E -2.56%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -10.41%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-11 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.83%EV -11.46%E -6.78%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -10.41%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.50%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.58%EV -4.13%E -2.26%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -10.82%E -2.50%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 18:50 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -3.08%E -1.67%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -12.47%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -8.84%E -5.08%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -5.44%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -9.37%E -5.42%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -13.50%E -3.21%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -18.95%E -6.32%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-11 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.94%EV -9.89%E -5.75%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -15.56%E -3.79%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-11 18:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| Matchbook | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |
| Smarkets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-05-11 18:49 |