默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lincoln City v Swansea City

2026-09-19 14:00 UTC — Championship

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lincoln City (主队)

预测 34.53%2.90公平赔率
EV +0.839%
优势 +0.287%
Kelly +0.437%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 2.92

博彩公司预测分布
32.41%34.39%34.54%35.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.692.702.9240.82%37.13%37.04%34.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Swansea City (客队)

预测 38.23%2.62公平赔率
EV -2.52%
优势 -0.988%
Kelly -1.63%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
37.21%38.28%38.19%39.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.442.452.5545.45%40.93%40.82%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.24%3.67公平赔率
EV -4.66%
优势 -1.33%
Kelly -1.87%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.85%27.34%27.28%28.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.373.403.5031.75%29.69%29.41%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Lincoln City (主队):34.53%;Swansea City (客队):38.23%;平局:27.24%。 对于“Lincoln City (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.90。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为2.92,由此产生+0.839%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV +0.839%E +0.287%K +0.437%G +0.004%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV +0.839%E +0.287%K +0.437%G +0.004%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -3.31%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -2.52%E -0.988%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -3.31%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -2.52%E -0.988%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -3.31%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -2.52%E -0.988%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 14:25
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -3.31%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 17:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 16:44
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 17:11
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 16:55
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 16:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 16:45
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 16:44
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 16:45
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 16:44
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 16:24
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:25
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:25
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:25
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 17:50
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:15
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:14
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.10%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -5.96%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 17:11
Marathon Bet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.10%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -5.96%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 16:55
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -8.49%E -3.20%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.49%E -3.20%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 14:25
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -9.18%E -3.49%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.71%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -9.18%E -3.49%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -9.18%E -3.49%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 14:25
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -9.18%E -3.49%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -9.18%E -3.49%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -7.11%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 14:25
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.52%E -3.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 16:20
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.52%E -3.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -10.21%E -3.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 16:15
ReBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 34.46%EV -10.56%E -4.08%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 37.82%EV -9.78%E -4.15%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.72%EV -12.29%E -3.82%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.13%EV -11.25%E -4.38%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.47%EV -12.84%E -5.63%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-12 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -11.94%E -4.68%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.99%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -14.20%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-12 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.59%EV -15.39%E -6.28%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.52%EV -15.90%E -7.23%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.90%EV -14.20%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000%18.0%2026-09-12 16:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 34.40%2.34I 42.74%NM 37.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%13.5%2026-09-12 16:20
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 34.14%2.22I 45.05%NM 37.52%2.94I 34.01%NM 28.33%20.0%2026-09-12 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 28.21%1.10I 90.91%NM 43.08%1.65I 60.61%NM 28.72%111.0%2026-09-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 28.21%1.10I 90.91%NM 43.08%1.65I 60.61%NM 28.72%111.0%2026-09-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 27.52%1.04I 96.15%NM 44.46%1.65I 60.61%NM 28.02%116.3%2026-09-12 19:35