Idioma:Español
Lincoln City v Swansea City
Resultado del partido
Lincoln City (Local)
Predicción 34.53%2.90momio equitativo
EV +0.839%
Ventaja +0.287%
Kelly +0.437%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.41%34.39%34.54%35.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.692.702.9240.82%37.13%37.04%34.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Swansea City (Visitante)
Predicción 38.23%2.62momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -0.988%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.21%38.28%38.19%39.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.442.452.5545.45%40.93%40.82%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.24%3.67momio equitativo
EV -4.66%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.85%27.34%27.28%28.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.373.403.5031.75%29.69%29.41%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Lincoln City (Local): 34.53%; Swansea City (Visitante): 38.23%; Empate: 27.24%. Para Lincoln City (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.90. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.92, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.839%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV +0.839%E +0.287%K +0.437%G +0.004% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV +0.839%E +0.287%K +0.437%G +0.004% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 17:21 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -3.31%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -2.52%E -0.988%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -3.31%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -2.52%E -0.988%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -3.31%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -2.52%E -0.988%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -3.31%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 16:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 17:11 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 16:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 16:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 16:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 16:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 17:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.10%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -5.96%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 17:11 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.10%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -5.96%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -8.49%E -3.20%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.49%E -3.20%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -9.18%E -3.49%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.71%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -9.18%E -3.49%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -9.18%E -3.49%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -9.18%E -3.49%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -9.18%E -3.49%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -7.11%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.52%E -3.63%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-12 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.52%E -3.63%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -10.21%E -3.93%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 34.46%EV -10.56%E -4.08%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.82%EV -9.78%E -4.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.72%EV -12.29%E -3.82%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.13%EV -11.25%E -4.38%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.47%EV -12.84%E -5.63%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -11.94%E -4.68%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.99%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -14.20%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.59%EV -15.39%E -6.28%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.52%EV -15.90%E -7.23%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.90%EV -14.20%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-09-12 16:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 34.40% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 37.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96% | 13.5% | 2026-09-12 16:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 34.14% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 37.52% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 28.33% | 20.0% | 2026-09-12 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 28.21% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 43.08% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 28.72% | 111.0% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 28.21% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 43.08% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 28.72% | 111.0% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 27.52% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 44.46% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 28.02% | 116.3% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |