Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lincoln City v Swansea City

2026-09-19 14:00 UTC — Championship

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lincoln City (Local)

Prévision 34.53%2.90cote équitable
EV +0.839%
Avantage +0.287%
Kelly +0.437%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.41%34.39%34.54%35.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.692.702.9240.82%37.13%37.04%34.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Swansea City (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.23%2.62cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -0.988%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.21%38.28%38.19%39.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.442.452.5545.45%40.93%40.82%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.24%3.67cote équitable
EV -4.66%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -1.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.85%27.34%27.28%28.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.373.403.5031.75%29.69%29.41%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Lincoln City (Local) : 34.53% ; Swansea City (Visiteur) : 38.23% ; Match nul : 27.24%. Pour Lincoln City (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.90. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.92, pour une espérance positive de +0.839%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV +0.839%E +0.287%K +0.437%G +0.004%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV +0.839%E +0.287%K +0.437%G +0.004%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -3.31%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -2.52%E -0.988%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -3.31%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -2.52%E -0.988%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -3.31%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -2.52%E -0.988%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -6.03%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 14:25
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -3.31%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 17:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 16:44
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 17:11
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 16:55
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 16:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 16:45
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 16:44
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 16:45
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 16:44
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 16:24
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:25
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:25
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:25
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 17:50
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:15
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:14
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.10%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -5.96%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 17:11
Marathon Bet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.10%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -5.96%E -2.42%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 16:55
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -8.49%E -3.20%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -8.49%E -3.20%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 14:25
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -9.18%E -3.49%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.71%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -9.18%E -3.49%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -9.18%E -3.49%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 14:25
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -9.18%E -3.49%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -9.18%E -3.49%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -7.11%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 14:25
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.52%E -3.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 16:20
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.52%E -3.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -10.21%E -3.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 16:15
ReBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 34.46%EV -10.56%E -4.08%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 37.82%EV -9.78%E -4.15%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.72%EV -12.29%E -3.82%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.13%EV -11.25%E -4.38%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.47%EV -12.84%E -5.63%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -12.84%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-12 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -11.94%E -4.68%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.99%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -14.20%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-12 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.59%EV -15.39%E -6.28%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.52%EV -15.90%E -7.23%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.90%EV -14.20%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000%18.0%2026-09-12 16:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 34.40%2.34I 42.74%NM 37.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%13.5%2026-09-12 16:20
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 34.14%2.22I 45.05%NM 37.52%2.94I 34.01%NM 28.33%20.0%2026-09-12 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 28.21%1.10I 90.91%NM 43.08%1.65I 60.61%NM 28.72%111.0%2026-09-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 28.21%1.10I 90.91%NM 43.08%1.65I 60.61%NM 28.72%111.0%2026-09-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 27.52%1.04I 96.15%NM 44.46%1.65I 60.61%NM 28.02%116.3%2026-09-12 19:35