Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SonderjyskE v AGF Aarhus

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SonderjyskE (Local)

Prediction 26.00%3.85fair odd
EV +1.41%
Edge +0.361%
Kelly +0.485%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.37%25.92%26.13%27.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.553.503.9030.77%28.21%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AGF Aarhus (Visit)

Prediction 48.01%2.08fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.529%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.83%48.09%47.96%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.921.922.0658.14%51.98%52.08%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.98%3.85fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -0.683%
Kelly -0.932%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.04%25.99%25.92%26.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.533.553.7531.25%28.32%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SonderjyskE (Local): 26.00%; AGF Aarhus (Visit): 48.01%; Draw: 25.98%. For SonderjyskE (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +1.41%E +0.361%K +0.485%G +0.007%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV +1.41%E +0.361%K +0.485%G +0.007%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.24%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV +1.41%E +0.361%K +0.485%G +0.007%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.24%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:55
1xBet🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.52%EV +0.628%E +0.162%K +0.219%G +0.001%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.91%EV -6.85%E -3.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.58%EV -7.24%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -1.19%E -0.314%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 14:54
GTbets🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.41%EV -2.23%E -0.594%K -0.809%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.76%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.83%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 14:45
Suprabets🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 24.86%EV -2.23%E -0.594%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.19%EV -7.24%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:45
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -2.49%E -0.665%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Everygame🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -2.49%E -0.665%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 14:44
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -10.69%E -5.75%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -4.31%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.59%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.98%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 14:55
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.09%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 14:55
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.09%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 14:55
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -5.09%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.73%E -5.18%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%EV -1.09%E -0.529%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%EV -1.09%E -0.529%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 14:54
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:55
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -9.73%E -5.18%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 14:50
BetAnything🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -9.73%E -5.18%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 14:50
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 14:45
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 14:45
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -11.17%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 14:55
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 14:45
betPARX🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 14:45
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 14:55
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 14:55
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.77%E -4.62%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 14:54
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -12.13%E -6.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 14:55
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 14:45
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -5.41%E -2.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:45
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%EV -5.89%E -3.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 14:45
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%EV -5.89%E -3.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 14:45
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 14:55
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 14:55
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.17%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.17%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.17%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 14:45
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.17%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -12.89%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -6.85%E -3.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.89%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -12.89%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.03%EV -12.89%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 48.76%EV -17.41%E -10.12%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.21%EV -16.85%E -5.27%K -7.66%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-15 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 26.44%EV -13.67%E -4.12%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -10.69%E -5.75%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.36%EV -13.48%E -4.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 14:35
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -12.13%E -6.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-15 14:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.28%EV -11.65%E -6.33%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-15 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -9.73%E -5.18%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.91%1.6%2026-03-15 14:55