La escuela de los momios

SonderjyskE v AGF Aarhus

Inicio: 2026-03-15 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SonderjyskE (Local)

Predicción 26.00%3.85momio equitativo
EV +1.41%
Ventaja +0.361%
Kelly +0.485%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.37%25.92%26.13%27.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.553.503.9030.77%28.21%28.57%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AGF Aarhus (Visitante)

Predicción 48.01%2.08momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.529%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.83%48.09%47.96%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.921.922.0658.14%51.98%52.08%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.98%3.85momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -0.683%
Kelly -0.932%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.04%25.99%25.92%26.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.533.553.7531.25%28.32%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +1.41%E +0.361%K +0.485%G +0.007%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 14:50
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV +1.41%E +0.361%K +0.485%G +0.007%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.24%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:55
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV +1.41%E +0.361%K +0.485%G +0.007%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.24%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:55
1xBet3.87I 25.84%NM 24.52%EV +0.628%E +0.162%K +0.219%G +0.001%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.91%EV -6.85%E -3.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.58%EV -7.24%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 14:50
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -1.19%E -0.314%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 14:54
GTbets3.76I 26.60%NM 25.41%EV -2.23%E -0.594%K -0.809%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.76%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.83%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 14:45
Suprabets3.76I 26.60%NM 24.86%EV -2.23%E -0.594%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.19%EV -7.24%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:45
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -2.49%E -0.665%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -2.49%E -0.665%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 14:44
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -10.69%E -5.75%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 14:55
Marathon Bet3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -4.31%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.59%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.98%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 14:55
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.09%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 14:55
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.09%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 14:55
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -5.09%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.73%E -5.18%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 14:55
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%EV -1.09%E -0.529%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%EV -1.09%E -0.529%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 14:54
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:55
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -9.73%E -5.18%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 14:50
BetAnything3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -9.73%E -5.18%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 14:50
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 14:45
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 14:45
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 14:45
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 14:45
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -11.17%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 14:55
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 14:45
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 14:45
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:35
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:55
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 14:55
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 14:55
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.77%E -4.62%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 14:54
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -12.13%E -6.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 14:55
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 14:45
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -5.41%E -2.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:45
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%EV -5.89%E -3.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 14:45
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%EV -5.89%E -3.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 14:45
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 14:55
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 14:55
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.17%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.17%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.17%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 14:45
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.17%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 14:45
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -12.89%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -6.85%E -3.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 14:45
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.89%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:35
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -12.89%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 14:45
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.03%EV -12.89%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 48.76%EV -17.41%E -10.12%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.21%EV -16.85%E -5.27%K -7.66%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-15 14:55
Betclic (FR)3.32I 30.12%NM 26.44%EV -13.67%E -4.12%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -10.69%E -5.75%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.36%EV -13.48%E -4.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 14:35
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -12.13%E -6.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-15 14:35
Parions Sport (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.28%EV -11.65%E -6.33%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-15 14:40
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -9.73%E -5.18%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 14:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.91%1.6%2026-03-15 14:55