Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SonderjyskE v AGF Aarhus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SonderjyskE (Local)

Prévision 26.00%3.85cote équitable
EV +1.41%
Avantage +0.361%
Kelly +0.485%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%25.92%26.13%27.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.553.503.9030.77%28.21%28.57%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

AGF Aarhus (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.01%2.08cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.529%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.83%48.09%47.96%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.721.921.922.0658.14%51.98%52.08%48.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.98%3.85cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -0.683%
Kelly -0.932%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.04%25.99%25.92%26.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.533.553.7531.25%28.32%28.17%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SonderjyskE (Local) : 26.00% ; AGF Aarhus (Visiteur) : 48.01% ; Match nul : 25.98%. Pour SonderjyskE (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.85. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.90, soit une espérance positive de +1.41%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +1.41%E +0.361%K +0.485%G +0.007%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV +1.41%E +0.361%K +0.485%G +0.007%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.24%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV +1.41%E +0.361%K +0.485%G +0.007%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.24%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 14:55
1xBet🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.52%EV +0.628%E +0.162%K +0.219%G +0.001%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.91%EV -6.85%E -3.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.58%EV -7.24%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -1.19%E -0.314%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 14:54
GTbets🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.41%EV -2.23%E -0.594%K -0.809%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.76%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.83%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 14:45
Suprabets🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 24.86%EV -2.23%E -0.594%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.19%EV -7.24%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 14:45
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -2.49%E -0.665%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Everygame🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -2.49%E -0.665%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 14:44
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -10.69%E -5.75%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -4.31%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.59%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.98%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 14:55
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.09%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 14:55
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.09%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 14:55
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -5.09%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.73%E -5.18%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%EV -1.09%E -0.529%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%EV -1.09%E -0.529%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.12%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 14:54
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:55
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -9.73%E -5.18%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 14:50
BetAnything🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -9.73%E -5.18%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 14:50
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 14:45
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 14:45
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -11.17%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 14:55
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 14:45
betPARX🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 14:45
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.97%E -1.99%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 14:55
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 14:55
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.77%E -4.62%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 14:54
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -12.13%E -6.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 14:55
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 14:45
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -5.41%E -2.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:45
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%EV -5.89%E -3.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 14:45
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%EV -5.89%E -3.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 14:45
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 14:55
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 14:55
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.17%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.17%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.17%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 14:45
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.17%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -12.89%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -6.85%E -3.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -12.89%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -12.89%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.03%EV -12.89%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 48.76%EV -17.41%E -10.12%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.21%EV -16.85%E -5.27%K -7.66%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-15 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 26.44%EV -13.67%E -4.12%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -10.69%E -5.75%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.36%EV -13.48%E -4.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 14:35
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -12.13%E -6.63%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-15 14:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.28%EV -11.65%E -6.33%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-15 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -15.49%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -9.73%E -5.18%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 14:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-03-15 14:50
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.91%1.6%2026-03-15 14:55