Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Randers FC v Vejle Boldklub

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 12:00 UTC

Final: Randers FC 1–0 Vejle Boldklub

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Randers FC (Local)

Prediction 61.24%1.63fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.876%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.24%61.22%61.17%62.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.521.521.6170.92%66.00%65.79%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vejle Boldklub (Visit)

Prediction 16.41%6.09fair odd
EV +7.99%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.114%

assuming max odds 6.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.63%16.39%16.42%18.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.465.406.5820.41%18.31%18.52%15.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.35%4.47fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.375%
Kelly -0.485%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.53%22.39%22.42%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.114.104.4027.78%24.34%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Randers FC (Local): 61.24%; Vejle Boldklub (Visit): 16.41%; Draw: 22.35%. For Vejle Boldklub (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.09. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.93%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.63%EV +7.99%E +1.21%K +1.43%G +0.114%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.44%EV -4.11%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 11:55
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV +2.58%E +0.412%K +0.491%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV +1.76%E +0.283%K +0.338%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV +1.76%E +0.283%K +0.338%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 11:35
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV +1.76%E +0.283%K +0.338%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 11:35
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.13%EV +1.76%E +0.283%K +0.338%G +0.006%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -9.47%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 11:54
Suprabets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.04%EV -7.53%E -4.99%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.11%EV +1.76%E +0.283%K +0.338%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -1.53%E -0.255%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 11:45
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -7.53%E -4.99%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -1.53%E -0.255%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -9.37%E -6.33%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -1.53%E -0.255%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:24
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -4.81%E -0.829%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.53%E -4.99%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -4.81%E -0.829%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 11:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.49%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -5.63%E -0.979%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -5.63%E -0.979%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 11:45
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.06%EV -3.86%E -2.46%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.78%EV -7.76%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.17%EV -9.03%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:25
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.08%EV -8.75%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.68%EV -2.10%E -0.479%K -0.621%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 11:05
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 11:45
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 11:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:45
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 11:46
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 11:06
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -13.94%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 11:55
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -9.98%E -6.79%K -21.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 11:23
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.09%EV -1.41%E -0.876%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV -11.37%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.09%EV -1.41%E -0.876%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV -11.37%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 11:50
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -11.37%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:38
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -11.37%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.88%EV -3.86%E -2.46%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -13.02%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.47%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:50
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.47%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.47%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:50
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.47%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:50
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 11:01
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.83%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 11:55
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 11:50
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 11:50
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.42%EV -12.43%E -8.69%K -28.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.89%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.69%EV -9.47%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 11:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.07%EV -13.66%E -9.69%K -33.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.56%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.37%EV -13.94%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-03 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -16.30%E -3.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -16.30%E -3.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -16.30%E -3.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 11:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 11:50
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 11:45
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 11:46
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 59.94%EV -10.60%E -7.26%K -23.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.56%EV -13.27%E -3.42%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 11:34
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-03 11:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -19.53%E -5.43%K -7.51%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-03 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.46%EV -10.60%E -7.26%K -23.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -19.58%E -4.00%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.97%EV -9.98%E -6.79%K -21.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.99%EV -19.58%E -4.00%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-03 11:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-05-03 11:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.09%2.9%2026-05-03 11:55