L’École des cotes

Randers FC v Vejle Boldklub

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 12:00 UTC

Score final : Randers FC 1–0 Vejle Boldklub

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Randers FC (Local)

Prévision 61.24%1.63cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.876%
Kelly -2.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.24%61.22%61.17%62.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.521.521.6170.92%66.00%65.79%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vejle Boldklub (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.41%6.09cote équitable
EV +7.99%
Avantage +1.21%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.114%

avec la cote maximale 6.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.63%16.39%16.42%18.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.465.406.5820.41%18.31%18.52%15.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.35%4.47cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.375%
Kelly -0.485%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.53%22.39%22.42%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.114.104.4027.78%24.34%24.39%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.93%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.63%EV +7.99%E +1.21%K +1.43%G +0.114%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.44%EV -4.11%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 11:55
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV +2.58%E +0.412%K +0.491%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 11:50
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV +1.76%E +0.283%K +0.338%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 11:34
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV +1.76%E +0.283%K +0.338%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 11:35
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV +1.76%E +0.283%K +0.338%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 11:35
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.13%EV +1.76%E +0.283%K +0.338%G +0.006%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -9.47%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 11:54
Suprabets1.51I 66.23%NM 62.04%EV -7.53%E -4.99%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.11%EV +1.76%E +0.283%K +0.338%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:50
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -1.53%E -0.255%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 11:45
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -7.53%E -4.99%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -1.53%E -0.255%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:55
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -9.37%E -6.33%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -1.53%E -0.255%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:24
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -4.81%E -0.829%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 11:55
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.53%E -4.99%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -4.81%E -0.829%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 11:55
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.49%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -5.63%E -0.979%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:45
PointsBet (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -5.63%E -0.979%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 11:45
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 60.06%EV -3.86%E -2.46%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.78%EV -7.76%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.17%EV -9.03%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:25
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.08%EV -8.75%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.68%EV -2.10%E -0.479%K -0.621%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 11:05
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 11:45
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 11:55
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 11:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 11:55
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 11:55
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:45
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 11:46
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 11:06
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -13.94%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 11:55
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -9.98%E -6.79%K -21.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 11:25
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 11:23
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 60.09%EV -1.41%E -0.876%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV -11.37%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 11:50
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.09%EV -1.41%E -0.876%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV -11.37%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 11:50
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -11.37%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:38
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -11.37%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:50
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.88%EV -3.86%E -2.46%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -13.02%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.47%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:50
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.47%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:50
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.47%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:50
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.47%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:50
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 11:01
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.83%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 11:55
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 11:50
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 11:50
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:50
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.42%EV -12.43%E -8.69%K -28.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.89%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.69%EV -9.47%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 11:55
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.07%EV -13.66%E -9.69%K -33.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.56%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.37%EV -13.94%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-03 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -16.30%E -3.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -16.30%E -3.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 11:50
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -16.30%E -3.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 11:01
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 11:50
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 11:45
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 11:46
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.94%EV -10.60%E -7.26%K -23.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.56%EV -13.27%E -3.42%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 11:34
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-03 11:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -19.53%E -5.43%K -7.51%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-03 11:25
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.46%EV -10.60%E -7.26%K -23.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -19.58%E -4.00%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 11:55
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.97%EV -9.98%E -6.79%K -21.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.99%EV -19.58%E -4.00%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-03 11:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-05-03 11:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.09%2.9%2026-05-03 11:55