La escuela de los momios

Randers FC v Vejle Boldklub

Inicio: 2026-05-03 12:00 UTC

Final: Randers FC 1–0 Vejle Boldklub

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Randers FC (Local)

Predicción 61.24%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.876%
Kelly -2.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.24%61.22%61.17%62.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.521.521.6170.92%66.00%65.79%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Vejle Boldklub (Visitante)

Predicción 16.41%6.09momio equitativo
EV +7.99%
Ventaja +1.21%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.114%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.63%16.39%16.42%18.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.465.406.5820.41%18.31%18.52%15.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.35%4.47momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.375%
Kelly -0.485%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.53%22.39%22.42%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.114.104.4027.78%24.34%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.93%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.63%EV +7.99%E +1.21%K +1.43%G +0.114%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.44%EV -4.11%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 11:55
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV +2.58%E +0.412%K +0.491%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 11:50
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV +1.76%E +0.283%K +0.338%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 11:34
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV +1.76%E +0.283%K +0.338%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 11:35
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV +1.76%E +0.283%K +0.338%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 11:35
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.13%EV +1.76%E +0.283%K +0.338%G +0.006%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -9.47%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 11:54
Suprabets1.51I 66.23%NM 62.04%EV -7.53%E -4.99%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.11%EV +1.76%E +0.283%K +0.338%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:50
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -1.53%E -0.255%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 11:45
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -7.53%E -4.99%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -1.53%E -0.255%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -3.89%E -0.904%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:55
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -9.37%E -6.33%K -19.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -1.53%E -0.255%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:24
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -4.81%E -0.829%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 11:55
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.53%E -4.99%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -4.81%E -0.829%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 11:55
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.49%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -5.63%E -0.979%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:45
PointsBet (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -5.63%E -0.979%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 11:45
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 60.06%EV -3.86%E -2.46%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.62I 17.79%NM 16.78%EV -7.76%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.17%EV -9.03%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:25
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.08%EV -8.75%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.68%EV -2.10%E -0.479%K -0.621%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 11:05
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 11:45
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 11:55
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 11:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 11:55
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 11:55
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:45
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 11:46
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 11:06
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -13.94%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 11:55
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -9.98%E -6.79%K -21.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 11:25
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 11:23
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 60.09%EV -1.41%E -0.876%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV -11.37%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 11:50
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.09%EV -1.41%E -0.876%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.92%EV -11.37%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -1.65%E -0.375%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 11:50
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -11.37%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:38
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -11.37%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:50
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.88%EV -3.86%E -2.46%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -13.02%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.47%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:50
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.47%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:50
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.47%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:50
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -4.47%E -2.87%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.00%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:50
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 11:01
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.84%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.83%E -3.29%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 11:55
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 11:50
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -5.08%E -3.28%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 11:50
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:50
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.42%EV -12.43%E -8.69%K -28.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.89%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.69%EV -9.47%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 11:55
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.07%EV -13.66%E -9.69%K -33.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.56%EV -14.66%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.37%EV -13.94%E -3.62%K -4.89%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-03 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -6.31%E -4.12%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -16.30%E -3.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -6.92%E -4.55%K -13.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -16.30%E -3.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 11:50
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -16.30%E -3.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -6.12%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 11:01
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 11:50
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 11:45
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 11:46
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.94%EV -10.60%E -7.26%K -23.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.56%EV -13.27%E -3.42%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 11:34
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -15.06%E -3.96%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-03 11:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.82%E -8.21%K -26.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -17.94%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -19.53%E -5.43%K -7.51%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-03 11:25
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.46%EV -10.60%E -7.26%K -23.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -19.58%E -4.00%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -8.36%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 11:55
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.97%EV -9.98%E -6.79%K -21.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.99%EV -19.58%E -4.00%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -10.59%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-03 11:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-05-03 11:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.09%2.9%2026-05-03 11:55