The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Randers FC v FC Nordsjaelland

2026-11-08 15:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Randers FC (Local)

Prediction 21.27%4.70fair odd
EV +2.10%
Edge +0.438%
Kelly +0.554%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.14%21.25%21.42%22.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.324.304.8026.32%23.13%23.26%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Nordsjaelland (Visit)

Prediction 56.52%1.77fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -7.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.09%56.50%56.42%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.621.631.6867.57%61.66%61.35%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.21%4.50fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.520%
Kelly -0.673%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.54%22.25%22.17%23.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.124.104.4025.97%24.26%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Randers FC (Local): 21.27%; FC Nordsjaelland (Visit): 56.52%; Draw: 22.21%. For Randers FC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.70. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.80, producing a positive expected value of +2.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV +2.10%E +0.438%K +0.554%G +0.012%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -2.29%E -0.520%K -0.673%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-01 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV +2.10%E +0.438%K +0.554%G +0.012%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -2.29%E -0.520%K -0.673%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-01 18:00
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.023%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.90%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 16:20
NordicBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 16:20
Pinnacle🎯4.59I 21.79%NM 20.69%EV -2.36%E -0.515%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.57%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.74%EV -2.96%E -0.676%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.28%E -0.951%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.28%E -0.951%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 17:55
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.28%E -0.951%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 17:55
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.28%E -0.951%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 18:00
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -6.40%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -9.00%E -5.59%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -6.40%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -9.57%E -5.98%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -7.47%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 16:34
Unibet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -7.47%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -9.57%E -5.98%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 17:55
Grosvenor🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -7.47%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -9.57%E -5.98%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 17:55
LeoVegas🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -7.89%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.81%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.51%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -2.29%E -0.520%K -0.673%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.51%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 16:20
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.69%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -10.70%E -6.77%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -10.70%E -6.77%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.77%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.90%EV -11.26%E -7.17%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 17:55
TABtouch🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.77%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.90%EV -11.26%E -7.17%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 17:55
1xBet🎯4.26I 23.47%NM 21.94%EV -9.38%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.51%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.83%EV -9.60%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.75%EV -11.83%E -7.58%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -12.28%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-01 17:55
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:20
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:19
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.44%E -5.21%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 16:30
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.00%E -5.59%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 16:20
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 21.61%EV -13.85%E -3.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.11%EV -11.83%E -7.58%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.27%EV -12.73%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-01 16:34
Winamax (DE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -15.98%E -4.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.71%EV -10.70%E -6.77%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-01 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 21.30%EV -15.98%E -4.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 56.85%EV -16.35%E -11.05%K -34.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.85%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%18.9%2026-11-01 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.51%EV -19.17%E -5.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 55.55%EV -12.96%E -8.41%K -23.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.94%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-01 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%13.6%2026-11-01 16:35