Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Randers FC v FC Nordsjaelland

2026-11-08 15:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Randers FC (Local)

Prévision 21.27%4.70cote équitable
EV +2.10%
Avantage +0.438%
Kelly +0.554%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.14%21.25%21.42%22.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.324.304.8026.32%23.13%23.26%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Nordsjaelland (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.52%1.77cote équitable
EV -5.04%
Avantage -3.00%
Kelly -7.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.09%56.50%56.42%57.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.621.631.6867.57%61.66%61.35%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.21%4.50cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -0.520%
Kelly -0.673%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.54%22.25%22.17%23.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.124.104.4025.97%24.26%24.39%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Randers FC (Local) : 21.27% ; FC Nordsjaelland (Visiteur) : 56.52% ; Match nul : 22.21%. Pour Randers FC (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.70. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.80, pour une espérance positive de +2.10%.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV +2.10%E +0.438%K +0.554%G +0.012%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -2.29%E -0.520%K -0.673%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-01 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV +2.10%E +0.438%K +0.554%G +0.012%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -2.29%E -0.520%K -0.673%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-01 18:00
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.023%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.90%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 16:20
NordicBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 16:20
Pinnacle🎯4.59I 21.79%NM 20.69%EV -2.36%E -0.515%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.57%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.74%EV -2.96%E -0.676%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.28%E -0.951%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.28%E -0.951%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 17:55
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.28%E -0.951%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 17:55
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.28%E -0.951%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 18:00
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -6.40%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -9.00%E -5.59%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -6.40%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -9.57%E -5.98%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -7.47%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 16:34
Unibet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -7.47%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -9.57%E -5.98%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 17:55
Grosvenor🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -7.47%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -9.57%E -5.98%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 17:55
LeoVegas🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -7.89%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.81%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.51%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -2.29%E -0.520%K -0.673%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.51%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 16:20
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.69%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -10.70%E -6.77%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -10.70%E -6.77%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.77%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.90%EV -11.26%E -7.17%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 17:55
TABtouch🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.77%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.90%EV -11.26%E -7.17%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 17:55
1xBet🎯4.26I 23.47%NM 21.94%EV -9.38%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.51%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.83%EV -9.60%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.75%EV -11.83%E -7.58%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -12.28%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-01 17:55
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:20
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:19
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.44%E -5.21%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 16:30
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.00%E -5.59%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 16:20
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 21.61%EV -13.85%E -3.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.11%EV -11.83%E -7.58%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.27%EV -12.73%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-01 16:34
Winamax (DE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -15.98%E -4.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.71%EV -10.70%E -6.77%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-01 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 21.30%EV -15.98%E -4.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 56.85%EV -16.35%E -11.05%K -34.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.85%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%18.9%2026-11-01 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.51%EV -19.17%E -5.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 55.55%EV -12.96%E -8.41%K -23.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.94%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-01 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%13.6%2026-11-01 16:35