StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Randers FC v FC Nordsjaelland

2026-11-08 15:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Matchresultat

35 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Randers FC (Hemma)

Prognos 21.27%4.70rättvist odds
EV +2.10%
Fördel +0.438%
Kelly +0.554%
Tillväxt +0.012%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.14%21.25%21.42%22.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.804.324.304.8026.32%23.13%23.26%20.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

FC Nordsjaelland (Borta)

Prognos 56.52%1.77rättvist odds
EV -5.04%
Fördel -3.00%
Kelly -7.42%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.68

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.09%56.50%56.42%57.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.481.621.631.6867.57%61.66%61.35%59.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.21%4.50rättvist odds
EV -2.29%
Fördel -0.520%
Kelly -0.673%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.54%22.25%22.17%23.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.854.124.104.4025.97%24.26%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Randers FC (Hemma): 21.27%; FC Nordsjaelland (Borta): 56.52%; Oavgjort: 22.21%. För Randers FC (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.70. 2 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.80, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +2.10%.

Spelbolagsodds (35 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV +2.10%E +0.438%K +0.554%G +0.012%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -2.29%E -0.520%K -0.673%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-01 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV +2.10%E +0.438%K +0.554%G +0.012%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.97%EV -2.29%E -0.520%K -0.673%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-01 18:00
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.023%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.90%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 16:20
NordicBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 16:20
Pinnacle🎯4.59I 21.79%NM 20.69%EV -2.36%E -0.515%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.57%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.74%EV -2.96%E -0.676%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.28%E -0.951%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.28%E -0.951%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 17:55
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.28%E -0.951%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 17:55
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.28%E -0.951%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 18:00
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -6.40%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -9.00%E -5.59%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -6.40%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -9.57%E -5.98%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -7.47%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.43%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 16:34
Unibet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -7.47%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -9.57%E -5.98%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 17:55
Grosvenor🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -7.47%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -9.57%E -5.98%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 17:55
LeoVegas🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -7.89%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.81%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.51%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -2.29%E -0.520%K -0.673%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.51%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 16:20
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.69%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -10.70%E -6.77%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.74%EV -10.70%E -6.77%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.77%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.90%EV -11.26%E -7.17%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 17:55
TABtouch🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.77%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.90%EV -11.26%E -7.17%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 17:55
1xBet🎯4.26I 23.47%NM 21.94%EV -9.38%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.51%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.83%EV -9.60%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.75%EV -11.83%E -7.58%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -12.28%E -3.11%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-01 17:55
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:20
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:19
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.44%E -5.21%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 16:30
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.00%E -5.59%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 16:20
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 21.61%EV -13.85%E -3.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.11%EV -11.83%E -7.58%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.27%EV -12.73%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-01 16:34
Winamax (DE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -15.98%E -4.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.71%EV -10.70%E -6.77%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-01 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 21.30%EV -15.98%E -4.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 56.85%EV -16.35%E -11.05%K -34.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.85%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%18.9%2026-11-01 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.51%EV -19.17%E -5.04%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 55.55%EV -12.96%E -8.41%K -23.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.94%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-01 16:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (1)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%13.6%2026-11-01 16:35