Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Randers FC v FC Fredericia

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 16:00 UTC

Final: Randers FC 2–2 FC Fredericia

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Randers FC (Local)

Prediction 49.91%2.00fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.592%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.39%50.03%49.91%53.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.831.841.9859.52%54.56%54.35%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Fredericia (Visit)

Prediction 24.71%4.05fair odd
EV +3.78%
Edge +0.901%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.34%24.63%24.42%26.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.793.764.2029.85%26.41%26.60%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.38%3.94fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.265%
Kelly -0.356%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.05%25.33%25.67%27.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.623.603.9032.26%27.61%27.74%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Randers FC (Local): 49.91%; FC Fredericia (Visit): 24.71%; Draw: 25.38%. For FC Fredericia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.22%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV +3.78%E +0.901%K +1.18%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -1.03%E -0.265%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.22%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV +3.78%E +0.901%K +1.18%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -1.03%E -0.265%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 15:30
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -12.65%E -7.23%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV +3.78%E +0.901%K +1.18%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -1.03%E -0.265%K -0.356%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:19
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.82%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.64%EV -0.665%E -0.165%K -0.220%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.54%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 15:55
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.66%E -5.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.66%E -5.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.66%E -5.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:30
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.66%E -5.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:30
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.66%E -5.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:29
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -10.65%E -5.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 15:30
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -10.65%E -5.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 15:29
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -11.15%E -6.27%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 15:29
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -11.15%E -6.27%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 15:29
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.32%EV -1.90%E -0.479%K -0.640%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.17%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.39%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.39%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:34
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.39%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -11.65%E -6.58%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -2.39%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 15:29
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.63%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 15:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -7.16%E -3.85%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.63%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -12.65%E -7.23%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -3.63%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 15:30
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.87%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 15:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -13.65%E -7.89%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -4.87%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 15:29
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:54
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.18%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.18%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 15:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.91%EV -15.15%E -8.91%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -9.91%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 15:30
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.03%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.88%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 13:09
Suprabets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -5.66%E -3.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.76%EV -6.84%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.86%EV -8.39%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:24
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -2.30%E -0.598%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:14
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:35
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:24
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -9.91%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:34
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -10.16%E -5.64%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:48
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 15:50
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:14
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -1.17%E -0.592%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.81%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -9.91%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:54
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 15:35
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 15:14
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -8.16%E -4.43%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 15:55
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 15:54
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 15:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.19%EV -16.15%E -9.61%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.93%EV -12.45%E -3.61%K -5.08%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-23 15:55
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -12.28%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 15:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%EV -8.16%E -4.43%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.51%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -13.15%E -7.56%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -13.51%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -9.91%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.64%EV -11.65%E -6.58%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -14.75%E -4.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.89%EV -10.42%E -2.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 15:34
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -10.16%E -5.64%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 15:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.39%EV -10.16%E -5.64%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.09%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -21.33%E -6.88%K -10.16%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-23 15:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.36%EV -11.15%E -6.27%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -17.22%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-23 15:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-23 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-23 15:45
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-23 15:44
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.98%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.12%2.1%2026-04-23 15:45