L’École des cotes

Randers FC v FC Fredericia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 16:00 UTC

Score final : Randers FC 2–2 FC Fredericia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Randers FC (Local)

Prévision 49.91%2.00cote équitable
EV -1.17%
Avantage -0.592%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.39%50.03%49.91%53.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.831.841.9859.52%54.56%54.35%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Fredericia (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.71%4.05cote équitable
EV +3.78%
Avantage +0.901%
Kelly +1.18%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.34%24.63%24.42%26.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.793.764.2029.85%26.41%26.60%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.38%3.94cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.265%
Kelly -0.356%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.05%25.33%25.67%27.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.623.603.9032.26%27.61%27.74%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.22%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV +3.78%E +0.901%K +1.18%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -1.03%E -0.265%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 15:30
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.22%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV +3.78%E +0.901%K +1.18%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -1.03%E -0.265%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 15:30
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -12.65%E -7.23%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV +3.78%E +0.901%K +1.18%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -1.03%E -0.265%K -0.356%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:19
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.82%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.64%EV -0.665%E -0.165%K -0.220%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.54%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 15:55
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.66%E -5.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:29
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.66%E -5.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:29
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.66%E -5.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:30
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.66%E -5.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:30
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.66%E -5.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:29
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -10.65%E -5.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 15:30
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -10.65%E -5.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 15:29
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -11.15%E -6.27%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 15:29
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -11.15%E -6.27%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 15:29
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.32%EV -1.90%E -0.479%K -0.640%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.17%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 15:45
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.39%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:30
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.39%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:34
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.39%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -11.65%E -6.58%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -2.39%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 15:29
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.63%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 15:38
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -7.16%E -3.85%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.63%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:44
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -12.65%E -7.23%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -3.63%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 15:30
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.87%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 15:54
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -13.65%E -7.89%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -4.87%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 15:29
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:54
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.18%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.18%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 15:39
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.91%EV -15.15%E -8.91%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -9.91%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 15:30
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.03%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.88%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 13:09
Suprabets1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -5.66%E -3.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.76%EV -6.84%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.86%EV -8.39%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:24
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -2.30%E -0.598%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:24
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:14
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:35
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:24
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -9.91%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:34
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -10.16%E -5.64%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:48
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 15:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 15:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 15:50
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:25
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:14
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -1.17%E -0.592%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.81%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -9.91%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:54
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 15:35
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 15:14
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -8.16%E -4.43%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 15:55
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 15:54
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 15:54
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.19%EV -16.15%E -9.61%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.93%EV -12.45%E -3.61%K -5.08%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-23 15:55
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -12.28%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 15:49
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%EV -8.16%E -4.43%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.51%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:15
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -13.15%E -7.56%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -13.51%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -9.91%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 15:35
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.64%EV -11.65%E -6.58%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -14.75%E -4.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.89%EV -10.42%E -2.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 15:34
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -10.16%E -5.64%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 15:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.39%EV -10.16%E -5.64%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.09%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -21.33%E -6.88%K -10.16%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-23 15:39
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.36%EV -11.15%E -6.27%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -17.22%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-23 15:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-23 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-23 15:45
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-23 15:44
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.98%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.12%2.1%2026-04-23 15:45