La escuela de los momios

Randers FC v FC Fredericia

Inicio: 2026-04-23 16:00 UTC

Final: Randers FC 2–2 FC Fredericia

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Randers FC (Local)

Predicción 49.91%2.00momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.592%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.39%50.03%49.91%53.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.831.841.9859.52%54.56%54.35%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Fredericia (Visitante)

Predicción 24.71%4.05momio equitativo
EV +3.78%
Ventaja +0.901%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.045%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.34%24.63%24.42%26.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.793.764.2029.85%26.41%26.60%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.38%3.94momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.265%
Kelly -0.356%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.05%25.33%25.67%27.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.623.603.9032.26%27.61%27.74%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.22%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV +3.78%E +0.901%K +1.18%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -1.03%E -0.265%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 15:30
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.22%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.00%EV +3.78%E +0.901%K +1.18%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -1.03%E -0.265%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 15:30
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -12.65%E -7.23%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV +3.78%E +0.901%K +1.18%G +0.045%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -1.03%E -0.265%K -0.356%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:19
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.82%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.64%EV -0.665%E -0.165%K -0.220%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.54%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 15:55
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.66%E -5.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:29
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.66%E -5.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:29
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.66%E -5.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:30
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.66%E -5.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:30
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -9.66%E -5.34%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:29
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -10.65%E -5.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 15:30
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -10.65%E -5.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 15:29
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -11.15%E -6.27%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 15:29
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -11.15%E -6.27%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -1.16%E -0.290%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 15:29
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.32%EV -1.90%E -0.479%K -0.640%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.17%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 15:45
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.39%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:30
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.39%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:34
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.39%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -11.65%E -6.58%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -2.39%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 15:29
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.63%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 15:38
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -7.16%E -3.85%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.63%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:44
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -12.65%E -7.23%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -3.63%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 15:30
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.87%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 15:54
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -13.65%E -7.89%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -4.87%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 15:29
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.66%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:54
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.18%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:40
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.18%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 15:39
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.91%EV -15.15%E -8.91%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -9.91%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 15:30
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.03%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.88%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 13:09
Suprabets1.89I 52.91%NM 49.39%EV -5.66%E -3.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.76%EV -6.84%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.86%EV -8.39%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:24
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -2.30%E -0.598%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:24
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:14
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 15:35
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.16%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:24
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -9.91%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 15:34
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -10.16%E -5.64%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:48
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 15:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 15:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 15:50
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:25
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.57%E -0.940%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:14
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -1.17%E -0.592%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.81%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -9.91%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:54
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 15:35
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 15:14
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -8.16%E -4.43%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 15:55
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 15:54
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 15:54
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.19%EV -16.15%E -9.61%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.93%EV -12.45%E -3.61%K -5.08%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-23 15:55
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -6.16%E -3.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -12.28%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 15:49
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%EV -8.16%E -4.43%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.51%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 15:15
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -13.15%E -7.56%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -13.51%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -9.91%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 15:35
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.64%EV -11.65%E -6.58%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -14.75%E -4.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.89%EV -10.42%E -2.95%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 15:34
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.57%EV -10.16%E -5.64%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 15:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.39%EV -10.16%E -5.64%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.09%EV -15.99%E -4.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -21.33%E -6.88%K -10.16%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-23 15:39
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.36%EV -11.15%E -6.27%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -17.22%E -5.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 15:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-23 15:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-23 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-23 15:45
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-04-23 15:44
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.98%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.12%2.1%2026-04-23 15:45